運命/宿命 of Syria's Idlib in balance at Tehran 首脳会議

ロシアの 大統領 Vladimir Putin (L) shakes 手渡すs with Turkish 相当するもの Recep Tayyip Erdogan as they 準備する to join a three-way 首脳会議 hosted by Iran's Hassan Rouhani that is 始める,決める to decide the 未来 of Syria's last major 反逆者/反逆する bastion Idlib
The 大統領,/社長s of Iran, Russia and Turkey were 予定 to 会合,会う Friday in Tehran for 会談 on the 未来 of Idlib 州 まっただ中に growing 恐れるs of a 人道的な 災害 in Syria's last major 反逆者/反逆する bastion.
Two people were killed in the northwestern 州 by ロシアの 空気/公表する strikes, によれば a 監視する, even as ロシアの leader Vladimir Putin arrived in Iran すぐに after his Turkish 相当するもの Recep Tayyip Erodgan.
The two men, shown arriving by 計画(する) by Iranian 明言する/公表する television, were 予定 to 持つ/拘留する 会談 with Iranian 大統領 Hassan Rohani.
The three countries are guarantors of the Astana 過程, a 跡をつける of 交渉s 開始する,打ち上げるd after Russia's game-changing 2015 軍の 介入 which has (太陽,月の)食/失墜d the Western-支援するd Geneva 交渉s led by the UN.
Iranian and ロシアの support for Syrian 大統領 Bashar al-Assad has shored up the Damascus 政権, 許すing it to 回復する the upper 手渡す in the seven-year civil war which has (人命などを)奪う,主張するd some 350,000 lives since 2011.

Smoke rises after an 空気/公表する strike 近づく the Idlib 州 village of Kafr Ain on September 7, 2018 as the 大統領,/社長s of Iran, Russia and Turkey 用意が出来ている to 会合,会う in Tehran for a 首脳会議 推定する/予想するd to decide the 未来 of Syria's last major 反逆者/反逆する bastion
On Friday morning, ロシアの 空襲s 続けざまに猛撃するd 反逆者/反逆する positions in the 南西 of Idlib 州, the Syrian 観測所 for Human 権利s said.
の中で them were positions of the jihadist Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) 同盟, 同様に as of the 強行路線 Ahrar al-Sham group, the Britain-based 監視する said.
Hundreds of 非軍事のs have already begun to 逃げる Idlib as 政府 軍隊s and their 同盟(する)s ready for what could be the last -- and bloodiest -- major 戦う/戦い of the 破滅的な 衝突.
掴むd from 政府 軍隊s in 2015, Idlib and 隣接する areas form the final major chunk of Syrian 領土 still under 対立 支配(する)/統制する. The 州 is home to some three million people -- around half of them 追い出すd from other parts of the country, によれば the 国際連合.
- 'Horrific シナリオ' -
隣人ing Turkey, which has long 支援するd Syrian 反逆者/反逆するs, 恐れるs the 強襲,強姦 could 誘発する a flood of desperate Syrians に向かって its 領土.

Idlib and 隣接する areas form the final major chunk of Syrian 領土 still under 対立 支配(する)/統制する
But 政権 支援者s Russia and Iran have sworn to wipe out "テロリストs" and Assad has 宣言するd his 決意 to 奪い返す 支配(する)/統制する of the entire country.
Eight 主要な 援助(する) 機関s 警告するd Friday that "once again, it will be the most 攻撃を受けやすい who will 支払う/賃金 the heaviest price". They 控訴,上告d to world leaders to "緊急に work together to 避ける this horrific シナリオ".
The Tehran 会談 could 決定する the 規模 and the timeline of the Idlib 不快な/攻撃, which the UN has 警告するd may 追い出す some 800,000 people.
Iranian television 報告(する)/憶測d the three leaders would each have "二国間の/相互の 会合s" on the sidelines of the main 首脳会議. They are also 予定 to 持つ/拘留する a 圧力(をかける) 会議/協議会.
Just hours later, the UN 安全 会議 will also 会合,会う, at Washington's request, to discuss Idlib.

危険 of 人道的な 危機 in Idlib
Russia wants Turkey, which 国境s the 州, to use its 影響(力) to rein in the 支配的な group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, led by the former Al-Qaeda 支店 in Syria, 同様に as 競争相手 反逆者/反逆するs.
Turkey has 限られた/立憲的な sway over the jihadists who 支配(する)/統制する an 概算の 60 パーセント of the 州, but it 支援するs other 反逆者/反逆する groups and has 12 軍の "観察 points" across the area.
Idlib's 全住民 has swelled as the 政権 chalked up a 一連の victories across the country, reaching 避難/引き上げ 取引,協定s that saw tens of thousands of people bussed there.
- 'Liquidation of テロリストs' -
Russia has said the Syrian army is prepar ing to solve the problem of "テロ行為" in the 反逆者/反逆する 要塞/本拠地 and 繰り返し言うd Friday that its position had not changed.

The Tehran 会合s could 決定する the 規模 and the timeline of the Idlib 不快な/攻撃
"A total and 最終的な liquidation of the テロリストs across all of Syria's 領土 is necessary," said ロシアの foreign 省 spokeswoman Maria Zakharova.
She 強調する/ストレスd however that Moscow "is doing everything in its 力/強力にする to 確実にする that human losses and 害(を与える) to Idlib's 非軍事の 全住民 is 限られた/立憲的な as much as possible".
Her Iranian 相当するもの, Bahram Ghassemi, 保証するd Damascus of Tehran's support and 乗り気 to "continue its 役割 as 助言者 and help" for the Idlib (選挙などの)運動をする.
Al-Watan, a Syrian newspaper の近くに to the 政府, 報告(する)/憶測d Monday the 軍の 操作/手術 could "すぐに follow the 首脳会議".
分析家 Sam Heller with the International 危機 Group said there was some hope of a 取引,協定.
Any new flood of 難民s に向かって Turkey would come at a time when Ankara is "攻撃を受けやすい," he told AFP, 追加するing it would be a "抱擁する new 重荷(を負わせる) on Turkey and would 圧倒する its 人道的な capacities."
"I don't think that either of these countries, or really anyone, has an 利益/興味 in doing something which is genuinely destabilising to Turkey," he 追加するd.