Trump's 裁判,公判 will electrify the world. But his enemies, so desperate to see him locked up, may have made a monumental 戦術の 失敗, 令状s ANDREW NEIL

It's hard to 非難する Donald Trump (aka Dozy Don) for 明らかに nodding off during the first day of his 'hush money' 裁判,公判 in New York on Monday.

Yes, it's the first ever 犯罪の 裁判,公判 of a former U.S. 大統領,/社長 and he's also the only 主要な 大統領の 候補者 ever to 直面する 犯罪の 訴訟/進行s. 追加する to that the chance he could go to 刑務所,拘置所 if he's 設立する 有罪の and you might 推定する/予想する Trump to be 支払う/賃金ing の近くに attention.

But the 早期に 行う/開催する/段階s of the 裁判,公判 have been 支配するd by arcane 合法的な arguments about procedural points and the interminable 過程 of choosing a 陪審/陪審員団, now an 避けられない feature of American 司法(官).

That could continue for another week or more. So, にもかかわらず all the hoopla surrounding this 裁判,公判 and the 大規模な マスコミ circus which …に出席するs it, Trump and the 残り/休憩(する) of us should be 用意が出来ている to be bored for a little longer yet.

But patience will have its just rewards, for this 裁判,公判 is the stuff of tabloid dreams ― porn 星/主役にするs, hush money, dodgy lawyers, Playboy bunnies, illicit sex and cover-ups ― which means it will find a 集まり audience far beyond those usually 利益/興味d in Trump for mundane 事柄s like his politics.

Former US president Donald Trump at the State Supreme Court
 in New York this week

Former US 大統領,/社長 Donald Trump at the 明言する/公表する 最高裁判所 in New York this week

The circus which has 始める,決める up its big 最高の,を越す on the 15th 床に打ち倒す of a rather dingy Manhattan 法廷,裁判所 building will be captivating most of America soon enough ― and much of the 残り/休憩(する) of the world, too.

Whether it will also 供給する a 説得力のある 事例/患者 against Trump is another 事柄. Dozy Don 直面するs 88 犯罪の 告発(する),告訴(する)/料金s in 事例/患者s spread across four 明言する/公表するs.

Many 民主党員s, who would love to see him go 負かす/撃墜する for one or all the 起訴,告発s, are 狼狽d that the first one up is the New York 事例/患者 that they, along with 合法的な 専門家s and political commentators, 恐れる is the weakest ― and that, even if Trump is 設立する 有罪の, 投票者s will struggle to understand that what he did was really 犯罪の.

T his also plays to Trump's oft-repeated (人命などを)奪う,主張する that he is the 犠牲者 of political 迫害 by Democratic 行動主義者s, 含むing many in the Biden 行政, who are using the 法律 against him because they 恐れる they can't (警官の)巡回区域,受持ち区域 him at the 投票(する) box.

The way he sees it, the 訴訟/進行s have all the hallmarks of a show 裁判,公判. Trump will be 裁判官d by an 圧倒的に Democratic 陪審/陪審員団 in a 裁判,公判 統括するd over by a Democratic 裁判官 and brought about by a Democratic 地区 弁護士/代理人/検事.

Manhattan, from where the 陪審/陪審員団 will be drawn, 投票(する)d 87 per cent for Joe Biden in 2020. Almost 100 見込みのある 賠審員s were whe eled out on Monday only for 50 per cent to be 解任するd すぐに because, on a show of 手渡すs, they 認める they could not be fair or impartial.

The 選択 過程 will no 疑問 root out the most egregiously biased against Trump. But, in the end, the 陪審/陪審員団 will still lean 圧倒的に 民主党員.

The 裁判長, Juan Merchan, 寄付するd to the Biden-Harris (選挙などの)運動をする in 2020 and to other '進歩/革新的な' 原因(となる)s. The 量s were a pittance but it illustrates how he leans too.

On his way into 法廷,裁判所 yesterday the 被告 said 裁判官 Merchan was 'Trump hating' and '全く 衝突d'.

地区 弁護士/代理人/検事 Alvin Bragg, a Left-wing 民主党員, (選挙などの)運動をするd for 選挙 誓約(する)ing to 'get' Trump. He wasn't sure for what, but 約束d he'd find some 告発(する),告訴(する)/料金 to drag Trump into 法廷,裁判所. Since 起訴するing Trump he's raised $850,000 (£680,000) for his re-選挙運動.

U.S. 司法(官) has always been too 影響(力)d by politics but is now so politicised, by 民主党員s and 共和国の/共和党のs alike for their own ends, it barely qualifies any more as 独立した・無所属 and impartial.

Yet, even in what Trump and his 信奉者s see as a rigged 裁判,公判, it is not (疑いを)晴らす that 地区 弁護士/代理人/検事 Bragg has a 十分に 説得力のある 事例/患者 to 安全な・保証する a 有罪の判決.

Porn star Stormy Daniels, who it is alleged Donald Trump had a 'sexual encounter' with... the trial is the stuff of tabloid dreams, writes Andrew Neil, featuring porn stars, hush money, dodgy lawyers, Playboy b
unnies, illicit sex and cover-ups

Porn 星/主役にする 嵐の Daniels, who it is 申し立てられた/疑わしい Donald Trump had a '性の 遭遇(する)' with... the 裁判,公判 is the stuff of tabloid dreams, 令状s Andrew Neil, featuring porn 星/主役にするs, hush money, dodgy lawyers, Playboy bunnies, illicit sex and cover-ups

In 2006, it is 申し立てられた/疑わしい that Trump ― by then married to Melania ― had a '性の 遭遇(する)' with a porn 星/主役にする who goes by the 行う/開催する/段階 指名する 嵐の Daniels. Ten years later, on the eve of the 2016 大統領の 選挙, Trump's then lawyer and fixer, Michael Cohen, paid her £105,000, 広範囲にわたって regarded as hush money to keep her 静かな until the 選挙 was out of the way. It is not 違法な under New York 明言する/公表する 法律 to 支払う/賃金 someone off to bury a sex スキャンダル.

Cohen was reimbursed in 行う/開催する/段階s through 2017 経由で a 月毎の retainer disguised, it is 申し立てられた/疑わしい, as 支払い(額)s for 合法的な services, which also 補償するd him for the 税金 he'd have to 支払う/賃金 on this income.

This '誤った accounting' is what Bragg has zoomed in on. Even so, such fudging of 商売/仕事 記録,記録的な/記録するs is 一般に regarded as 比較して minor ― a misdemeanour ― rather than more serious criminality, or 重罪.

To reach that higher level of criminality, Bragg has to show, under New York 法律, that Trump was cooking the 調書をとる/予約するs with 意図 to commit a 罪,犯罪, which would turn a m isdemeanour into a 重罪.

Just what that 罪,犯罪 was is not (疑いを)晴らす, certainly not to this layman or even to many 合法的な 専門家s. It could 伴う/関わる the 違法な use of 選挙資金s by 支払う/賃金ing off a mistress. Or using money to 援助(する) a 大統領の 候補者 by unlawful means. Or perhaps it's something to do with 税金 詐欺.

It really isn't (疑いを)晴らす. This is why 連邦の 検察官,検事s, who looked at the 事柄, decided not to go 負かす/撃墜する this road. Nor did Bragg's 前任者.

But, throwing 警告を与える to the 勝利,勝つd, the 地区 弁護士/代理人/検事 has 二塁打d-負かす/撃墜する, padding out his 起訴,告発 by 含むing every invoice, cheque and ledger 入ること/参加(者) 関係のある to the Cohen 支払い(額)s, giving him a 告発(する),告訴(する)/料金 sheet against Trump of 34 重罪s, each carrying a possible four-year 刑務所,拘置所 宣告,判決.

So far, Bragg has 前進するd some 'theories' on Trump's actual 罪,犯罪, three of which the 裁判官 has 受託するd are worthy of the 法廷,裁判所's time. No 疑問 the 裁判,公判 will make plain 正確に/まさに what Trump is 申し立てられた/疑わしい to have done.

'嵐の' 計画(する)s to 証言する. So does Karen McDougal, a former Playboy bunny who Trump is said to have had an 事件/事情/状勢 with for months (his friends tell me he was really smitten), and who was paid £120,000 to keep 静かな.

Cohen will be the 起訴's 重要な 証言,証人/目撃する since he is on a 使節団 to destroy his former boss. But he's already 認める to lying under 誓い and done three years in 刑務所,拘置所 for 税金 回避 and 法人組織の/企業の 違反s. So he might not be the clinching 証言,証人/目撃する Bragg hopes.

The 裁判,公判 will (問題を)取り上げる four days a week and last six to eight weeks. Since it's a 犯罪の 裁判,公判, Trump has to …に出席する every 開会/開廷/会期, which will 抑制(する) his ability to (選挙などの)運動をする or raise 基金s at a time when 大統領 Biden is raising tens of millions for his re-選挙.

O n the other 手渡す, the 裁判,公判 will give Trump oodles of wh at he loves most: publicity. Whether that 増強するs his pitch for the White House remains to be seen.

The 'show 裁判,公判' 面 could 解雇する/砲火/射撃 up more than just his 支持者s in sympathy for him. Or the more sordid 味方する of the 事例/患者 could 簡単に repel 独立した・無所属s and 穏健な 共和国の/共和党のs, 特に women, の中で whom Trump already 投票s 不正に.

The Georgia 犯罪の 事例/患者 against Trump, in which he's (刑事)被告 of trying to 干渉する with the result of the 2020 選挙, is far more serious than the New York 告発(する),告訴(する)/料金s.

But Trump is a lucky man. The Georgia 事例/患者 is in trouble because the 地区 弁護士/代理人/検事 there is 苦境に陥るd in スキャンダル for having an 不適切な 関係 with her lead 検察官,検事.

So New York comes first and might be the only 事例/患者 to be 完全にするd this 味方する of the November 選挙.

We don't even know if, in the event of a 有罪の 判決, the 起訴 is 捜し出すing 刑務所,拘置所 time (not that 存在 behind 妨げる/法廷,弁護士業s ― which is ありそうもない ― would やむを得ず stop Trump from running for the White House).

Nor do we know the 態度 of the Secret Service, a 連邦の 機関 誓約(する)d to 保護する 大統領,/社長s past and 現在の, if New York 法律 施行 should try to 刑務所,拘置所 him.

Uncharted 領土 indeed, though that is always the 事例/患者 with Trump. Dozy Don may be his new moniker but nobody will be 落ちるing asleep when this 事例/患者 really gets under way.