Could rent 頂点(に達する) in 2025? 所有物/資産/財産 会社/堅い says they will rise 6% next year before hitting 'affordability 天井'

  • Savills 予測(する) a その上の 6% rise in the 普通の/平均(する) rent in 2024
  • But the 広い地所 スパイ/執行官 says rents will 攻撃する,衝突する an 'affordability 天井' in 2025
  • In 2028, rents could go up by just 2% in a year, it 予報するs?

Tenants can 推定する/予想する その上の rent 引き上げ(る)s next year, but they could get some 一時的休止,執行延期 in 2025 as rents rises are 予報するd to stop より勝るing growth in people's incomes.?

The 広い地所 スパイ/執行官 Savills 予測(する)s 普通の/平均(する) rents to rise 6 per cent in 2024, おもに 予定 to there 存在 より小数の 所有物/資産/財産s 利用できる than there are tenants 捜し出すing to rent them.?

But by 2028, it says that rents could rise by just 2 per cent in a year, compared to the 抱擁する 11.2 per cent rise they saw in 2022.?

Short 供給(する): The 広い地所 スパイ/執行官 Savills 推定する/予想するs the 供給(する) and 需要・要求する 不均衡 will continue next year and 予測(する)s 普通の/平均(する) rents to rise 6% in 2024

Between October 2020 and October 2023, the 普通の/平均(する) UK rent rose by almost 32 per cent from £974 a month to £1,283, によれば the Homelet 賃貸しの 索引.

Savills now 見積(る)s that the 普通の/平均(する) renter 世帯 is spending 35.3 per cent of their income on rent, up from 33 per cent in 2021-22.

Although rents are ありそうもない to stop rising in cash 条件, Savills is 推定する/予想するing the pace of rent rises to slow 劇的な.

When will rents stop rising??

Savills said that, come 2025, rents will 攻撃する,衝突する an 'affordability 天井' and could stop growing faster than people's incomes.

Savills 予報するs that, after growing by 6 per cent in 2024, rents could then rise by 3.5 per cent in 2025, 3 per cent in 2026, 2.5 per cent in 2027 and just 2 per cent in 2028.??

The market is already feeling the 衝撃 of hitting an affordability 天井 in London, where rents already (問題を)取り上げる a much higher 割合 of income ? at 42.5 per cent on 普通の/平均(する), によれば Savills.

Five-year rent forecast: Savills predicts that rents will rise 6% next year before it hits somewhat of an affordability ceiling in 2025
Five-year rent forecast: Savills predicts that rents will rise 6% next year before it hits somewhat of an affordability ceiling in 2025

Five-year rent 予測(する): Savills 予報するs that rents will rise 6% next year before it 攻撃する,衝突するs somewhat of an affordability 天井 in 2025

Savills says that renters in the 資本/首都 have now exhausted their capacity to 企て,努力,提案 上向きs.

As a result, month-on-month 賃貸しの growth has fallen from an 普通の/平均(する) of 1.2 per cent in 2022 to 0.6 per cent so far in 2023 ? and is likely to remain lower than the UK 普通の/平均(する) over the next 18 months.

Emily Williams, director in the Savills 居住の 研究 team, said: 'Homes to rent continue to be in 重要な short 供給(する).?

'The end of a 一連の 国家の lockdowns 誘発するd 増加するd 賃貸しの 需要・要求する in 中央の-2021 that has 終始一貫して outstripped 供給(する) ever since.

'At the same time, the rising cost of 負債 has 衝撃d the profitability of many mortgaged landlords. This, together with a changed 税金 and 政策 環境, is 軍隊ing an 増加するing number to sell their 所有物/資産/財産s.

'As a result, 競争 for 在庫/株 is 堅い, and tenants are having to 企て,努力,提案 上向きs to 安全な・保証する a tenancy, supported ? but only in part ? by a strong growth in incomes, fuelling rents 上向きs in the short-to-medium 称する,呼ぶ/期間/用語.

Williams says it's hard to see where an 増加する in 賃貸しの 供給(する) will come from in the next couple of years.

She 追加するd: 'Higher borrowing costs will also keep would-be-買い手s in the 賃貸しの 部門 for longer, underpinning 需要・要求する, and while some landlords will be able to transact in cash to 避ける the higher cost of 負債, this is ありそうもない to move the dial on 供給(する).

'Any 重要な 増加する in 在庫/株 in the 部門 will be 延期するd until 2026 and beyond, when 利益/興味 率s have fallen more 大幅に.'

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