Is it 価値(がある) 投資するing in silver, lithium and other precious metals that are not gold?

  • Gold has 急に上がるd this year まっただ中に 経済的な 関心s and geopolitical 騒動?
  • 落ちるing インフレーション and 期待s of a US soft 上陸 could 重さを計る in 2024?

Gold 攻撃する,衝突する fresh highs in 2023 as a cocktail of weak 経済成長, high インフレーション and geopolitical 騒動 drove 需要・要求する for the 安全な-港/避難所 資産.

But as インフレーション recedes and market 期待s of a 'soft 上陸' for the 全世界の economy in 2024 build 勢い, the gold 急ぐ could soon come to an end.

And while history 一般に 証明するs gold to be a solid long-称する,呼ぶ/期間/用語 投資, 投資家s may want to consider building (危険などに)さらす to other precious metals in their 大臣の地位.

This is Money spoke to 分析家s and 基金 経営者/支配人s about the 投資 事例/患者 for silver, ウラン, 巡査 and lithium.

Metals like lithium are essential for the economy of the future

Metals like lithium are 必須の for the economy of the 未来?

Soft 上陸 (一定の)期間s hard times for gold?

Gold 位置/汚点/見つけ出す prices started 2023 at around $1,829.5/oz, but 経済的な 不確定 and geopolitical 緊張s have seen the price rise 刻々と this year.

Prices in 最近の weeks have been driven higher by market 期待s of 利益/興味 率 削減(する)s in 2024, which are typically 肯定的な for the precious metal, 同様に as a 軟化するing US dollar.

The metal has given away some ground since its December 頂点(に達する) of $2,071.98/oz but is still up more than 10 per cent over the last year.

Markets have begun to price 利益/興味 率 削減(する)s from the US 連邦の Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of England for next year.

But, while 段階s of 緩和 通貨の 政策 are 一般に 肯定的な for gold, an 改善するing 経済的な 見通し 示唆するs a 女性 year for the metal.

仲買人s are ますます betting on a 'soft 上陸' for the US economy this year, whereby the country 生き残るs the 利益/興味 率 引き上げ(る)ing cycle without a 苦しむing a 後退,不況.

The World Gold 会議, the market 開発 organisation for the gold 産業, 推定する/予想するs such a result to 重さを計る on the yellow metal's prospects.

It said: '歴史的に, soft 上陸 環境s have not been 特に attractive for gold, resulting in flat to わずかに 消極的な 普通の/平均(する) returns.'

However, it 最高潮の場面d 現在進行中の geopolitical 緊張s, 増加するd central bank gold 購入(する)s and the 見込み of 'higher for longer' 利益/興味 率s as 制限s to 危険.

'This should encourage many 投資家s to 持つ/拘留する 効果的な hedges, such as gold, in their 大臣の地位s,' the group 追加するd.

Expectations of a soft landing for the US economy are theoretically negative gold

期待s of a soft 上陸 for the US economy are theoretically 消極的な gold?

A silver lining to 2024?

Silver has been used in jewellery and as a 蓄える/店 of value for millennia, much like gold, but is far more abundant than its yellow 相当するもの - hence it is 現在/一般に 貿易(する)ing at around $23/oz.

にもかかわらず its 関連した 豊富, howev er, silver is a far more useful element than gold.

It is used in 薬/医学, conductors and electrodes, photography, and water filtration の中で its many 産業の uses, while silver also has an important 役割 in the 製造業の of solar パネル盤s.

Having started the year at $24.10/oz and 頂点(に達する)d at $26.06/oz in May, silver has had a いっそう少なく bullish 2023.

But 長,指導者 投資 officer at TAM 資産 管理/経営 James Penny said silver could be 始める,決める for a stronger 2024.

'Silver remains behind gold this year in 業績/成果 条件 which 代表するs a dislocation to the norm in which silver outperforms gold in a 決起大会/結集させる.

'As we see 社債 markets 決起大会/結集させるing in the wake of what will likely be the 最高の,を越す of the 利益/興味 率 引き上げ(る)ing cycle 投資家s would 利益 from 査定する/(税金などを)課すing if this dislocation in the price of silver is 価値(がある) looking at in more 詳細(に述べる).

'Longer 称する,呼ぶ/期間/用語, the 需要・要求する for silver's conductivity is playing out in the clean energy 組織/基盤/下部構造 market whilst 供給(する) of 利用できる new silver 地雷s looks constrained ? if one still believes in the theory of 供給(する) and 需要・要求する then this (一定の)期間s a longer 称する,呼ぶ/期間/用語 uptick in the price of silver.'

After a volatile year for silver, the metal could be boosted by its discount to gold and a supply-demand imbalance

After a volatile year for silver, the metal could be 上げるd by its 割引 to gold and a 供給(する)-需要・要求する 不均衡?

Long-称する,呼ぶ/期間/用語 巡査-tunity

Having 急に上がるd at the beginning of 2023 in 返答 to 供給(する) 問題/発行するs, 巡査 prices have fallen 支援する and are 概して flat for the year at just under $3.80/lb.

But the price of 巡査 has risen by 多重のs over the last 20 years in 返答 to the metal's importance to 科学技術の 開発 and, more recently, 成果/努力s to decarbonise.

Darius McDermott, managing director at FundCalibre, explained that 成果/努力s to build renewable energy 資源s and 'get energy where it needs to go' are going to 要求する 'a lot more 巡査'.

He said: 'The electric car itself 含む/封じ込めるs, on 普通の/平均(する), four times more 巡査 than a 伝統的な car.

'Not only this, but for the electric car to work, we are going to have to build out a lot more 非難する 組織/基盤/下部構造 which will also 要求する 意味ありげに more 巡査.

?The electric car itself 含む/封じ込めるs, on 普通の/平均(する), four times more 巡査 than a 伝統的な car.
Darius McDermott - FundCalibre?

'At the same time, we need to build 抱擁する 量s of renewable energy and this all needs to be connected to the grid. Renewable energy is いっそう少なく stable which means we need more grid 組織/基盤/下部構造 and 殴打/砲列s… which all leads to more cables and more 巡査 需要・要求する.

'The 逮捕する result of all this is 需要・要求する for 巡査 is 始める,決める to grow to 36.6 million metric tonnes by 2031 意味ありげに outstripping 推定する/予想するd 供給(する) of 30.1 million, meaning there will 潜在的に be a 厳しい mismatch in 需要・要求する and 供給(する).'

But, while the 見通し for long-称する,呼ぶ/期間/用語 巡査 需要・要求する is strong, it is also 極度の慎重さを要する to short-称する,呼ぶ/期間/用語 of 経済的な headwinds, with sporadically recurring 恐れるs of a Chinese 減産/沈滞 重さを計るing on the price for the last couple of years.

McDermott said: 'We think these are 一時的な factors and they've 供給するd a 広大な/多数の/重要な 適切な時期 to get into a long-称する,呼ぶ/期間/用語 構造上の growth 主題 at a good price. In our 見解(をとる) we 推定する/予想する 巡査 prices and 巡査 鉱夫s in aggregate to do very 井戸/弁護士席 over the next ten years.'

He 最高潮の場面d BlackRock World 採掘 Trust, which 配分するd more than 22 per cent of its 大臣の地位 to 巡査, as primed to 利益 from the metal's long-称する,呼ぶ/期間/用語 tailwinds.

Copper dema
nd is set to grow to 36.6 million metric tonnes by 2031 - much more than supply forecasts

巡査 需要・要求する is 始める,決める to grow to 36.6 million metric tonnes by 2031 - much more than 供給(する) 予測(する)s?

供給(する)-需要・要求する mismatch for ウラン

While it isn't technically a rare or precious metal, ウラン is also 必須の for decarbonisation 成果/努力s as 政府s around the world reacquaint themselves with 核の 力/強力にする.

The 2011 Fukushima 災害 spooked many countries into 規模ing 支援する 核の ambitions, 主要な to より小数の 地雷s 存在 opened and 最終的に the price of ウラン 衝突,墜落ing.

成果/努力s to 削減(する) 炭素 放出/発行s have 生き返らせるd 利益/興味 in 核の 力/強力にする, but past 削減(する)s to 採掘 生産/産物 means 供給(する) 現在/一般に can't 会合,会う 需要・要求する.

At $81.45/lb, ウラン is up by nearly 70 per cent over the last year, but it remains 井戸/弁護士席 short of its June 2007 頂点(に達する) of $139.30/lb.

Nick Greenwood, 経営者/支配人 of the MIGO 適切な時期s 信用, said: 'Given low prices, there has been little incentive for 探検 and 投資, meaning new deposits will remain undiscovered and 未開発の for a long time. By the time they are ready, 需要・要求する will have already 殺到するd.

'The 決定/判定勝ち(する) to 延長する the lives of many 力/強力にする 駅/配置するs to 達成する 逮捕する 無 has already led to 需要・要求する 存在 much greater than 推定する/予想するd in the short 称する,呼ぶ/期間/用語.

'This has been 悪化させるd by energy 安全 関心s given Russia and カザフ共和国's 役割s in the 供給(する) chain, and 騒動 in Niger is 混乱に陥れる/中断させるing 供給(する)s of ウラン to the French 力/強力にする 産業. Longer-称する,呼ぶ/期間/用語 需要・要求する will be driven by the build-out of the 核の 産業 in the Middle East and Asia.

'It is 広範囲にわたって 推定する/予想するd that the ウラン price will be 軍隊d higher as the 需要・要求する はるかに引き離すs the 供給(する).'

Uranium prices have exploded this year

ウラン prices have 爆発するd this year?

The green lithium paradox

Lithium has been 述べるd my some as the metal of the 未来, 大部分は 予定 to its importance to the 早い 拡大 of the electric car market, 同様に as rechargeable 殴打/砲列s for smartphones and laptops.

投資家s have had a rough year, however, with 殴打/砲列-grade lithium carbonate prices 負かす/撃墜する by around 82 per cent over the last year まっただ中に wider concer ns about the 明言する/公表する of the 全世界の economy.

But 共同の 基金 経営者/支配人 of the WS Amati 戦略の Metals 基金 示す Smith said that 'away from the red Bloomberg 審査するs', the 殴打/砲列 metal 部門 is 'buoyant'.

He explained: '取引,協定s are 存在 made with 全世界の 産業 leaders in the energy, 自動車, 殴打/砲列 and 精製するing 産業s.

'It is not surprising that 'Big Oil' is looking at 'white oil' or the lithium market for energy diversification.

He also 公式文書,認めるd a 重要な 供給(する)-需要・要求する 不均衡: 'The 普通の/平均(する) lead time from mineral 発見 to metal 生産/産物 is 15.7 years.

'追加する this time 規模 to the 14x 年次の 生産/産物 増加する by 2030 in lithium or 10x in nickel and the maths does not work.'

にもかかわらず the importance of lithium to decarbonisation and 成果/努力s to 改善する 空気/公表する 質, 採掘 of the 高度に reactive and flammable metal 誘発するs 重要な 関心s about its 環境の 衝撃.

Lithium extraction is linked to water 汚染, respiratory problems and broader 生態学の 損失.

Smith said: 'The 'green' paradox is that the supposed green 殴打/砲列 metals still attract large 環境の 足跡s and so at some point, the 自動車/殴打/砲列 産業 and 消費者s will have to 支払う/賃金 a 炭素 税金 unless they use greener sources of metal.'

He 最高潮の場面d Canada-名簿(に載せる)/表(にあげる)d Sigma Lithium as a 可能性のある 受益者.

The group has 後継するd in 力/強力にするing itself renewably 経由で a hydrogen 工場/植物, 達成するing 100 per cent water 再生利用するing, and 削除するing other forms of was te.

Smith said: 'Sigma Lithium produces 3倍になる 無 Green Lithium ? a spodumene concentrate 製品 with 無 tailings, 非,不,無-危険な 化学製品s, 100 per cent water 再生利用するing, renewable energy and a very low 炭素 足跡. Sigma is one of the largest 生産者s of pre-化学製品 lithium concentrate.'

Concerns about the state of the global economy have weighed on Lithium this year

関心s about the 明言する/公表する of the 全世界の economy have 重さを計るd on Lithium this year?

The comments below have not been 穏健なd.

The 見解(をとる)s 表明するd in the contents above are those of our 使用者s and do not やむを得ず 反映する the 見解(をとる)s of MailOnline.

We are no longer 受託するing comments on this article.