Stafford 補欠選挙 to 実験（する） Qld govt
Queensland's 自由主義の 国家の Party 直面するs a second 実験（する） of its 選挙（人）の standing when the Stafford 補欠選挙 is held on Saturday, just eight months from a 総選挙.
The party is 広範囲にわたって 推定する／予想するd to lose the inner-northern Brisbane seat and Labor harbours 疑惑s it 漏れるd a dirt とじ込み／提出する against its doctor 候補者 Anthony Lynham in a desperate 企て，努力，提案 to 持つ／拘留する on.
The LNP 苦しむd a staggering 17 per cent swing against it in the Redcliffe 補欠選挙 in February after its MP was exposed for dodgy 商売／仕事 取引.
Saturday's 投票 will be a better 指示，表示する物 of how the party will fare across the board in the 総選挙 in March 2015.
Labor held the seat for the four 選挙s before the 2012 whitewash.
Griffith University political 分析家 Paul Williams 推定する／予想するs a 10-12 per cent swing に向かって Labor on Saturday.
That's twice as bad as a normal 補欠選挙 results, he says, and 井戸／弁護士席 above the 7.1 per cent Labor needs to 勝利，勝つ.
While Dr Williams was 用心深い to superimpose the result on the 2015 選挙, he 予報するs a 類似の swing across Greater Brisbane.
He says Mr Newman's 事情に応じて変わる personal 是認 率ing would be in part to 非難する if there is a worse-than-usual result.
"You'd have to say Newman's 親族 unpopularity, compared to other leaders in this 明言する／公表する over the last few １０年間s, has to play a 軍隊," he said.
"The LNP is also 戦う／戦いing the 連邦の 政府 perception; it is hardly helping the 事柄."
The circumstances surrounding the 辞職 of the LNP's former member will 損失 the party その上の.
Dr Chris Davis, the former 長，率いる of the Australian 医療の 協会 Queensland, 辞職するd in May over the 政府's 扱うing of doctor 契約s and the watering 負かす／撃墜する of political 寄付 法律s.
Both parties are running health professionals, and both （人命などを）奪う，主張する to be the underdog.
The 選挙民 has the highest 集中 of health professionals in the 明言する／公表する.
It is 国境d by two hospitals, which Dr Lynham said had 苦しむd 670 職業 losses under the Newman 政府.
"I want to join you in a fight that you all know too 井戸／弁護士席: 削減（する）s to health, education and inaction against 暴力／激しさ in our community," he said.
The maxillofacial 外科医, who has a multi-million dollar 所有物／資産／財産 大臣の地位, decided to run for Labor over what he saw was an 不十分な 返答 to late-night alcohol-fuelled 暴力／激しさ.
The LNP has 描写するd Dr Lynham as a part-time blow-in who will be preoccupied with his lucrative 外科.
Labor is reeling after a 損失ing とじ込み／提出する on Dr Lynham was 解放（する）d, which showed he 借りがあるd money to Queensland Health as a result of overpayments made during the bungled rollout of a new health payroll system several years ago.
The LNP has 否定するd 漏れるing the 文書.
Mr Newman doorknocked with his party's 候補者, psychologist （頭が）ひょいと動く Andersen, last 週末 to talk up the LNP's 業績／成就s, such as 減少（する）ing 罪，犯罪 and 減ずるing hospital waiting time.
Just two years ago, the Newman 政府 安全な・保証するd an 前例のない 大多数 that had pundits 予報するing it would 持つ／拘留する on to 力／強力にする for up to five 条件.
But there has been a 劇の U-turn in 人気 after a 控訴 of 議論の的になる 改革（する）s, and a 最近の 投票 示唆するd it 追跡するs Labor on a two-party preferred basis across Queensland.
LNP 大統領，／社長 Bruce McIver has all but 譲歩するd 敗北・負かす in Stafford.
"政府s don't 勝利，勝つ 補欠選挙s. They are an 適切な時期 for people to have a swipe," he said.
"If we can run a 信頼できる race there, I'll think we'll do very 井戸／弁護士席. If we can 勝利，勝つ it, all the better."
The Saturday 補欠選挙 will be the first time 投票者s will have to show proof of 身元確認，身分証明, which is an Australian first.
Pre-投票ing booths opened last Monday and so far 100 per cent have shown ID, 示すing the new 法律 isn't a roadblock to 僕主主義.
