給料 不振の even before Delta 衝撃

New 人物/姿/数字s show real 行う growth was going backwards even before the 推定する/予想するd crunch to the economy from 普及した ウイルス lockdowns.

The economy is 広範囲にわたって 推定する/予想するd to 契約 in the September 4半期/4分の1 as a result of over half the 全住民 存在 under 制限s.

Asked if Australia can 避ける another 後退,不況, 総理大臣 Scott Morrison told reporters he remained 確信して that once the country is vaccinated and can be opened up again, the economy will 回復する.

"Once you're able to 解放(する) these 制限s then we see the economy come 支援する very, very, very 堅固に," he said on Wednesday.

But in the 合間, 経済学者s 推定する/予想する Thursday's 労働 軍隊 人物/姿/数字s will show the 失業率 rising to five per cent in July from the 10年間 low of 4.9 per cent in June.

大蔵大臣 Simon Birmingham 譲歩するd there are some big 衝撃s from the lockdowns across the eastern seaboard.

"Whilst there will probably be some 衝撃 in tomorrow's 人物/姿/数字s, we also think that the type of 援助 we're 配達するing will enable us to come 支援する quickly again," 上院議員 Birmingham told 6PR 無線で通信する.

However, the strong 回復 in the 職業s market since last year's 後退,不況 has had little 衝撃 on 給料 growth, 確認するing that a rise in the Reserve Bank's cash 率 is still years away.

The 行う price 索引 - a 重要な guide for 給料 growth used by the RBA and 財務省 - rose just 0.4 per cent in the June 4半期/4分の1 to an 年次の 率 of 1.7 per cent.

While this was up from 1.5 per cent as of the March 4半期/4分の1, it remains の近くに to the 記録,記録的な/記録する low 1.4 per cent seen in the second half of 2020.

It is also 井戸/弁護士席 below the 現在の 率 of インフレーション at 3.8 per cent, 示すing that real 給料 are going backwards.

"給料 were weak 井戸/弁護士席 before COVID-19, have remained weak during the pandemic, and the reward for Australians who have sacrificed so much to keep each other 安全な will be a その上の 削減(する) to their real 給料 in the years ahead," 影をつくる/尾行する treasurer Jim Chalmers told AAP.

ACTU 大統領,/社長 Michele O'Neil said the 連合させるd 衝撃 of 労働者s with いっそう少なく money to spend, insecure 職業s, and lockdowns has a 破滅的な 影響 on the whole community and economy.

私的な 部門 給料 grew by 0.5 per cent in the 4半期/4分の1, while public 部門 給料 grew by 0.4 per cent, the Australian Bureau of 統計(学) said.

It said apart from a few 孤立するd examples of 技術s 不足s placing 圧力 on 雇用者s to 会合,会う 推定する/予想するd market 率s, the 私的な 部門 行う growth 記録,記録的な/記録するd over the 4半期/4分の1 was 一般に subdued.

The RBA does not 推定する/予想する the 条件s to 解除する the cash 率 from 0.1 per cent to be in place before 2024, which 含むs 給料 growth 存在 closer to three per cent.

給料 growth has not been above three per cent since 早期に 2013.

一方/合間, there are already 調印するs the Australian economy will be slowing in the coming months as a result of the lockdowns.

However, at this 行う/開催する/段階 the Westpac-Melbourne 学校/設ける 主要な 索引, which 示すs the likely pace of 経済的な activity three to nine months into the 未来, is still 予報するing 年次の growth above 2.8 per cent - the long-称する,呼ぶ/期間/用語 傾向.

Westpac 長,指導者 経済学者 法案 Evans 推定する/予想するs the sudden 衝撃 of ウイルス lockdowns will become more 明らかな in August.

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