Modi's high-火刑/賭けるs 賭事 with Kashmir

Tens of thousands of extra Indian troops enforced a blanket curfew on top of a total communications blackout in India-administered Kashmir

Tens of thousands of extra Indian 軍隊/機動隊s 施行するd a 一面に覆う/毛布 外出禁止令 on 最高の,を越す of a total communications 灯火管制/停電 in India-治めるd Kashmir

Indian 総理大臣 Narendra Modi's strongarm move to 強化する 支配(する)/統制する on イスラム教徒-大多数 Kashmir is a 賭事 that could 誘発する/引き起こす 衝突 with Pakistan and re-点火(する) an 暴動 that has already cost tens of thousands of lives, 専門家s 警告する.

取り消すing Kashmir's special status, stripping away constitutionally 保証(人)d 特権s to land and 職業s, is 広範囲にわたって seen as Modi's most みごたえのある 成果/努力 yet to 押し進める his Hindu 国家主義者 協議事項 after a 地滑り 選挙 victory in May.

His 政府 主張するs it will bring peace and 繁栄, but the 大規模な 軍の 増強 that …を伴ってd the 手段 is a (疑いを)晴らす 承認 of the underlying 危険s.

While many Hindus celebrated, the Kashmir valley -- 焦点(を合わせる) of a 30-year-old イスラム教徒 暴動 against Indian 支配する -- was smothered under one of the heaviest 安全 厳重取締りs it has seen.

Tens of thousands of extra Indian 軍隊/機動隊s 施行するd a 一面に覆う/毛布 外出禁止令 on 最高の,を越す of a total communications 灯火管制/停電, but 報告(する)/憶測s still 現れるd of 時折起こる 抗議するs and 砲火 in the streets.

A.S. Dulat, a former 長,指導者 of the Indian 知能 service and 政府 助言者 on Kashmir, said keeping a lid on 暴力/激しさ was 批判的な if Modi was to (人命などを)奪う,主張する victory for his 劇の 力/強力にする play.

"But, my own 逮捕 is there will be repercussions and there will be an escalation of 暴力/激しさ," he told AFP.

- 怒り/怒る and alienation -

D.S. Hooda, a retired 中尉/大尉/警部補 general who once 命令(する)d Indian 軍隊s in Kashmir, also 発言する/表明するd 恐れるs of "怒り/怒る, alienation and 法律 and order 騒動s".

India already had 500,000 軍隊/機動隊s in Kashmir before the 増強s arrived.

交戦的な activity, after some years of 拒絶する/低下する, 後部d up after the 殺人,大当り of charismatic 反逆者/反逆する leader Burhan Wani in 2016, and Kashmiris say the 現在の lockdown will only 燃料 a sense of growing 憤慨.

The move has been viewed as Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi's most spectacular effort yet to push his Hindu nationalist agenda after a landslide election victory in May

The move has been 見解(をとる)d as Indian 総理大臣 Narendra Modi's most みごたえのある 成果/努力 yet to 押し進める his Hindu 国家主義者 協議事項 after a 地滑り electio n victory in May

"People are not going to take this lying 負かす/撃墜する," said Iltija Javed, daughter of former Kashmir 長,指導者 大臣 Mehbooba Mufti who was 拘留するd at the 週末.

"It's not 肉体的に possible to keep people under 捕らわれた for the 残り/休憩(する) of their lives," Javed told AFP from Srinagar.

Modi's 判決,裁定 Bharatiya Janata Party believes it is 権利ing a historical wrong which saw 部外者s -- おもに Hindus -- 除外するd from 経済大国 when Kashmir was 認めるd 特権d status after independence.

But many remain uncomfortable with the manner in which that status was stripped away, using a 大統領の 法令 with no 審議 in Kashmir and only 記念品 discussion in the New Delhi 議会.

"The manner of its 死刑執行 -- while extraordinarily efficient -- has brought deceit, 故意の誤報 and communal politics, once again, to the centre 行う/開催する/段階," South Asia 反対する テロ行為 専門家 Ajai Sahni told AFP.

- How will Pakistan 反応する? -

Another 重要な 関心 is Pakistan, whose 総理大臣 Imran 旅宿泊所 公約するd Tuesday to challenge India's "違法な" 活動/戦闘 at the UN 安全 会議.

Late Wednesday Islamabad took a step その上の, 発表するing it was expelling the Indian High Commissioner and 一時停止するing 二国間の/相互の 貿易(する) in a downgrading of 外交の 関係 over the 決定/判定勝ち(する).

The 核の-武装した 競争相手s have already fought two wars over Kashmir, which is divided between the two countries and (人命などを)奪う,主張するd by both.

Earlier this year they (機の)カム の近くに to war yet again, after a 交戦的な attack in Indian-held Kashmir was (人命などを)奪う,主張するd by a group based in Pakistan, 点火(する)ing tit-for-tat 空気/公表する strikes.

Prime Minister Imran Khan has vowed to challenge India's 'illegal' ac
tion at the UN Security Council

総理大臣 Imran 旅宿泊所 has 公約するd to challenge India's '違法な' 活動/戦闘 at the UN 安全 会議

Ankit Panda, a New York-based geopolitical 分析家, 強調する/ストレスd that Kashmir was a "核心" 利益/興味 of the Pakistan 軍の which 支配するs the country's foreign and 安全 政策.

"So we may see Pakistan step up its 試みる/企てるs to raise 緊張s ... or Pakistan 増加するing its use of 非,不,無-明言する/公表する groups to begin attacking Indian 議会の 職員/兵員 in Kashmir," Panda said,

"If the Pakistani 軍の decides it's going to 反応する in that way ...things start to get very dangerous."

Indian Home 大臣 Amit Shah, a 重要な architect of Modi's 活動/戦闘, 構内/化合物d international 関心s when he told 議会 that 部隊ing Kashmir -- 含むing a small section under Chinese 支配(する)/統制する -- was a 原因(となる) 価値(がある) dying for.

Sadanand Dhume, an 分析家 at the American 企業 学校/設ける in Washington, said it was still too 早期に to say if Modi's move would be seen "as a wise 決定/判定勝ち(する) or an historic 失敗."

"But two things are (疑いを)晴らす: India has ignored Kashmiri 感情, and taken a risky 決定/判定勝ち(する) with almost unfathomable 関わりあい/含蓄s," Dhume said.

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