With 急速な/放蕩な-弱めるing ルーブル and 恐れるs for 未来, ロシアのs 急ぐ to shop

March 5 (Reuters) - In 有望な 日光, a long 列 of shoppers snaked outside an IKEA 蓄える/店 近づく Moscow this week. 類似の scenes were repeated across Russia as families 急ぐd to spend their 急速な/放蕩な-depreciating ルーブルs at the Swedish retailer which is 出口ing the 危機-攻撃する,衝突する country.

ロシアのs are を締めるing for an uncertain 未来 of spiraling インフレーション, 経済的な hardship and an even 詐欺師 squeeze on 輸入するd goods.

The ルーブル has lost a third of its value this week after 前例のない Western 許可/制裁s were 課すd to punish Russia for 侵略するing ウクライナ共和国. The moves froze much of the central bank's $640 billion in reserves and 閉めだした several banks from 全世界の 支払い(額)s system SWIFT, leaving the ルーブル in 解放する/自由な-落ちる.

Cities across Russia were outwardly 静める, with little 調印する of the 危機 破滅的な 財政上の 部門 and markets. Except for the lines of people looking to 在庫/株 up on 製品s - mostly high-end items and 金物類/武器類 - before 棚上げにするs empty or prices climb その上の.

"The 購入(する)s that I planned to make in April, I 緊急に bought today. A friend from Voronezh also told me to buy for her," shopper Viktoriya Voloshina told Reuters in Rostov, a town 217 キロメーターs (135 miles) from Moscow.

Voloshina said she was looking for office 棚上げにするs and (米)棚上げする/(英)提議するs and also shopping on に代わって of a friend from another town. "My heart is breaking," she 追加するd.

Dmitry, another Moscow 居住(者), lamented 早い price rises. "The watch I 手配中の,お尋ね者 to buy now costs around 100,000 ルーブルs, compared to 40,000 around a week ago," he said, 拒絶する/低下するing to give his surname.

But the spending burst 明白な this week may peter out.

While there is no palpable 調印する of panic, the wipe-out of ルーブル 貯金 and the 二塁打ing of 利益/興味 率s to 20% will squeeze mortgage 支えるもの/所有者s and 消費者s.

財政上の 条件s -- 反映するing availability of credit in the economy -- have 強化するd 残酷に this year, which Oxford 経済的なs 予報するd would 縮む 国内の 需要・要求する by 11% by year end and raise 失業 by 1.9 百分率 points in 2023.

Zach Witlin, an 分析家 at Eurasia Group, 公式文書,認めるs 許可/制裁s are already hitting 消費者s 経由で prices 引き上げ(る)s and 数字表示式の 支払い(額)s disruptions.

While 消費者s are not 直接/まっすぐに 的d, "恐れる and 警告を与える are 誇張するing the 衝撃," with the 出口 of foreign brands such as IKEA creating a "snowball 影響," he 追加するd.

IMPORTS TO ISOLATION

Cars, 機械/機構 and car parts 構成するd nearly half of Russia's $293 billion 輸入するs last year, によれば the 連邦の Customs Service.

The 政府's strenuous 輸入する cutbacks in 最近の years mean 2021 輸入するs remained 7% below 2013 levels, before the first 許可/制裁s に引き続いて Russia's 2014 併合 of Crimea.

It has also beefed up 貿易(する) with 中国, which is the only country to 上げる 輸出(する)s to Russia since 2014.

But その上の 拒絶する/低下するs look 必然的な as the ルーブル 急落(する),激減(する)s, 保険会社s 辞退する cover to 商売/仕事s 輸出(する)ing to Russia and shippers 支援する away from ロシアの ports whether to 輸出(する) or to 輸入する.

While only a few ロシアの companies are 的d by 許可/制裁s "all of them will feel the 冷気/寒がらせるing 影響," said Matt Townsend, 許可/制裁s partner at 法律 会社/堅い Allen & Overy. "This is why 許可/制裁s are a very 効果的な 手段 to 孤立する a country."

The 即座の 経済的な shock will 原因(となる) a 35% GDP 収縮過程 in the second 4半期/4分の1 and a 7% 拒絶する/低下する in 2022, JPMorgan 予報するd. But "growing political and 経済的な 孤立/分離 will curtail Russia's growth 可能性のある in years to come," it 追加するd.

That may come about if 制限s "限界 the 取得/買収 of 科学(工学)技術 needed to support Russia's highest value 産業s," RBC 全世界の 資産 管理/経営 警告するd.

The Biden 行政 is 準備するing 支配するs to 抑制(する) Moscow's ability to 輸入する smartphones, 航空機 parts and 自動車 構成要素s.

But 多国籍のs, from tech 会社/堅いs Apple and Microsoft to 消費者 goods 生産者s Nike and Diageo, have 厳しいd links with Russia, meaning shoppers will have 限られた/立憲的な 接近 to the 消費者 goods they have grown accustomed to over three 10年間s.

Chinese companies, so far staying put, could 得る,とらえる some market 株 but they too could 落ちる prey to 第2位 許可/制裁s as many of their 製品s such as smartphones use U.S. origin 科学(工学)技術.

Some ロシアのs are not staying to find out. Lidia, a freelance 労働者 from Rostov said the money 移転 抑制(する)s were 複雑にするing receiving 支払い(額)s from abroad.

"The 許可/制裁s have 攻撃する,衝突する me very hard. Prices are already up around 20%...It's a fact that you already can't buy some 薬/医学s. Things will get worse," she said.

"Today my family and I are leaving Russia."

(令状ing by Ira Iosebashvili and Sujata Rao)

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