記録,記録的な/記録する Chinese wheat prices raise 危険 of pricier noodles

BEIJING, June 2 (Reuters) - Chinese 消費者s are likely to have to 支払う/賃金 more for food 中心的要素s like noodles and bread this year, as 記録,記録的な/記録する wheat prices in the world's 最高の,を越す 消費者 of the 穀物 get passed on to food 製造者s, 仲買人s and 分析家s said.

Wheat 収穫d in 中国 in 最近の weeks is 存在 sold at around 3,200 yuan ($477) per tonne, about 30% higher than a year ago and the highest level on 記録,記録的な/記録する, にもかかわらず stable 需要・要求する.

殺到するing farming costs and tight 在庫/株s have 押し進めるd up prices that are also 存在 supported by worries that 強い雨 last year could lead to a smaller 刈る.

全世界の wheat 供給(する)s are also tight 予定 to the war in major 輸出業者 ウクライナ共和国.

Prices of 精製するd flour are already up more than 10% in 中国 since the beginning of the year, to 記録,記録的な/記録する highs, によれば data from Mysteel, a 中国-based consultancy, and may rise その上の if wheat costs keep climbing.

The farming cost for wheat in 2021/22 was around 575 yuan per tonne, up about 100 yuan from the previous year, 予定 to rising fertiliser and seed prices, によれば Mysteel data.

"Everything is so much more expensive now. With 窒素 alone, prices have jumped about 100 yuan per 捕らえる、獲得する," said a 農業者 surnamed Zhang in Hebei 州, who only gave her family 指名する.

She 概算の the cost for winter wheat was as high as 700 yuan per tonne because the 刈る was 工場/植物d late last 落ちる 予定 to 強い雨.

SUBSIDIES

Beijing has 問題/発行するd three 一連の会議、交渉/完成するs of 補助金s to 農業者s so far this year まっただ中に 関心s that high costs will 衝撃 生産(高) in the food 安全-obsessed country, but that money has yet to trickle 負かす/撃墜する to growers who have been 気が進まない to sell their 穀物 cheaply.

仲買人s have also been 気が進まない to lower prices as 全体にわたる 供給(する)s remain tight に引き続いて strong wheat 需要・要求する last year from animal feeders.

"Corn prices were high. Old (刈る) wheat 供給(する)s in the end were tight, and prices 攻撃する,衝突する 3,500 yuan per t onne, so new wheat continued the 決起大会/結集させる and started off (this season) high," said a 中国-based 穀物s 仲買人.

While 料金d 生産者s and livestock 農業者s have been daunted by the high price of wheat this year, they remain 正規の/正選手 wheat 買い手s as corn prices also remain elevated.

"If the 料金d 部門 is not buying, the 供給(する) 状況/情勢 will be much better," said another 穀物s 仲買人.

And にもかかわらず the 現在進行中の 収穫 which will continue through late-June, 補充するing 供給(する)s, the price of wheat is 始める,決める to reach at least 3,400 yuan per tonne in the fourth 4半期/4分の1, when Chinese wheat 需要・要求する 頂点(に達する)s and people eat more starchy foods in the 冷淡な 天候, 仲買人s and 分析家s said.

HANGING IN THERE

High wheat prices are squeezing flour mills, which are struggling with overcapacity and weak 需要・要求する during the 伝統的に low 消費 season.

"Milling 工場/植物s were not 活発に buying at the moment. Only some are buying for the necessary need to restock," said Lv Fengyang, 分析家 with the 農業 section of Mysteel.

She 概算の at least 70% of millers are losing money.

罰金 flour makes up about 70% of the 利益(をあげる)s for wheat 過程ing at milling 工場/植物s, while the 残り/休憩(する) comes from sales of byproducts that おもに go into animal 料金d.

"Food flour prices have 基本的に stabilised at the moment," said a 仲買人 with a major milling 工場/植物 in 中国. "But higher wheat prices will 結局 be passed on to end 製品s."

($1 = 6.7050 Chinese yuan renminbi)

(報告(する)/憶測ing by Hallie Gu and Dominique Patton; Editing by David Holmes)

Sorry we are not 現在/一般に 受託するing comments on this article.