Australia インフレーション 加速するs in April, keeps 圧力 on RBA

By Stella Qiu

SYDNEY, May 31 (Reuters) - Australian 消費者 prices rose by more than 推定する/予想するd in April on a jump in 燃料 prices and strong 伸び(る)s in 住宅, 示唆するing sticky インフレーション will likely keep 圧力 on the central bank.

The 消費者 price 索引 (消費者物価指数) rose 6.8% in April from a year earlier, Australian Bureau of 統計(学) data showed on Wednesday, compared with 6.3% in March and market 予測(する)s of 6.4%.

On a 月毎の basis, 消費者物価指数 rose by a strong 0.8% from March. Prices 除外するing volatile fruit, vegetables and 燃料 and holiday travel, rose 6.5% in the year to April, 負かす/撃墜する from 6.9% in March.

The Australian dollar 攻撃する,衝突する a 開会/開廷/会期 high of $0.6538 after the data but soon unwounded 伸び(る)s on soft 中国 data. Markets have 軽く押す/注意を引くd up the chances of a 4半期/4分の1-point 引き上げ(る) next month to 28%, seeing 終点 率s reach 4.1% by September, compared with 4.0% before.

"It now looks more likely than not that Q2 インフレーション will overshoot the RBAs 予測(する) of 6.3%," said Marcel Thieliant, a 上級の 経済学者 at 資本/首都 経済的なs.

"Coupled with the 増加するing strength of the 回復する in the 住宅 market and continued 不振の 生産性 growth, that will almost certainly 納得させる the RBA to raise 利益/興味 率s again, perhaps as soon as next week."

The Reserve Bank of Australia has 警告するd that more 率 rises may be 要求するd to bring インフレーション 支援する to 的 by 中央の-2025, having raised 利益/興味 率s by 375 basis points since May last year to an 11-year high of 3.85%.

経済的な data over the past month has 大部分は been on the soft 味方する. 小売 sales were flat in April as 消費者s 削減(する) 支援する spending on food and dining out, 年4回の 伸び(る)s in 給料 行方不明になるd 予測(する)s and a red-hot la bour market showed 調印するs of 冷静な/正味のing.

Wednesday's data showed the most 重要な drivers were an 8.9% jump in 住宅, a 7.9% 増加する in food and 非,不,無-アル中患者 (水以外の)飲料s and a 7.1% rise in 輸送(する) costs.

(報告(する)/憶測ing by Stella Qiu; Editing by Sam Holmes and Jacqueline Wong)

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