Brazil 経済的な team supports 利益／興味 率 削減（する） of more than 25bps
By Bernardo Caram and Rodrigo Viga Gaier
BRASILIA/RIO DE JANEIRO, July 13 (Reuters) - 主要な members of Brazil's 経済的な team said on Thursday they 予報する the central bank has room to 削減（する） its （判断の）基準 利益／興味 率 by more than 25 basis points at its next 会合, その上の 圧力ing policymakers at the bank to lower borrowing costs.
大統領 Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's 行政 has long called on the 通貨の 当局 to 削減（する） the 重要な Selic 率 from its 現在の six-year high of 13.75%, a level the 政府 見解（をとる）s as 妨げるing 経済成長.
With 年次の インフレーション now at its lowest in nearly three years, the central bank is 広範囲にわたって 推定する／予想するd to kick off an 緩和 cycle at its next 通貨の 政策 会合 on Aug. 1 to 2. But 経済学者s are still pondering the size of the 削減（する）.
"Everyone is 推定する／予想するing a 率 削減（する）," 大蔵大臣 Fernando Haddad 公式文書，認めるd in an interview with RedeTV 新聞記者／雑誌記者 Kennedy Alencar.
Haddad said the hot topic now is the size of the 削減（する） and signaled that he 推定する／予想するs there is room for it to be larger than 25 basis points.
Planning 大臣 Simone Tebet was even more emphatic, 説 at an event in Rio de Janeiro that the central bank must start its 緩和 cycle with a 50-basis-point 削減（する）.
She said 高金利 levels were 傷つけるing the 小売 部門.
Brazil's central bank has 行為／行うd one of the world's most 積極的な 強化するing cycles in a 企て，努力，提案 to fight インフレーション, 追加するing 1,175 basis points of 引き上げ（る）s between March 2021 and August 2022.
A Genial/Quaest 投票 of 94 基金 経営者／支配人s, 経済学者s and 分析家s working for 67 different 会社／堅いs in Brazil showed earlier this week that 92% of them 予測（する） the central bank to kick off a 通貨の 緩和 cycle next month.
However, they still diverge on the size of the 削減（する）, with 55% of those 投票d betting on a 25 basis point move while 32% 推定する／予想する a 50 basis point 削減（する）.
On Thursday, Lula himself 新たにするd calls on the central bank to 削減（する） 利益／興味 率s. He did not 詳細（に述べる） by how much but said in a speech he was "not asking for anything absurd".
At its last 会合 in June, the bank's 通貨の 政策 委員会 said a "parsimonious" 率 削減（する） in August was possible if the 肯定的な インフレーション シナリオ continued, although 公式文書，認めるing that a 少数，小数派 of its members defended a more 用心深い approach.
The August 会合 will be the first to 含む Gabriel Galipolo and Ailton Aquino, Lula's two first 指名された人s for the central bank board, who are 推定する／予想するd to help make the 政府's 事例／患者 for lower lending 率s.
(報告（する）／憶測ing by Bernardo Caram in Brasilia and Rodrigo Viga Gaier in Rio de Janeiro 令状ing by Gabriel Araujo Editing by Steven Grattan, Josie Kao and フランs Kerry)
