Spain's 権利 on 瀬戸際 of 大多数 in 総選挙 - 投票s

By Inti Landauro and Andrei Khalip

MADRID, July 17 (Reuters) - The final opinion 投票s 許すd under Spanish 法律 before the July 23 総選挙 showed the 保守的な People's Party (PP) 井戸/弁護士席 ahead of the 判決,裁定 社会主義者s on Monday, but at the very least needing the support of far-権利 Vox to 治める/統治する.

によれば the main Spanish 世論調査員s, which are 閉めだした from publishing 調査するs from Tuesday, PP would 獲得する 131-151 seats in the 350-member lower house, 落ちるing short of an 完全な 大多数 of 176.

While a number of 投票s showed that Vox would 勝利,勝つ enough seats to 保証(人) the 権利 a 共同の 大多数, the 普通の/平均(する) of all 調査するs 解放(する)d on Monday by 世論調査員s GAD3, 40db, IMOP, Sigma 2 and Simple Logica shows them getting 139 and 36 seats, それぞれ, or one seat short of 176.

総理大臣 Pedro Sanchez's Spanish 社会主義者 労働者s' Party (PSOE) would get 98-115 seats, によれば the 調査するs whose 発射/推定s work out at an 普通の/平均(する) of 108 seats.

A hypothetical 同盟 between PP and the anti-移民/移住, anti-feminist Vox could see PP leader Alberto Nunez Feijoo becoming 首相, but much will depend on who comes third in a number of 州s, and how many 国会議員s a few 地域の parties, who have supported Sanchez's 少数,小数派 連合 over the past four years, elect.

Vox is neck and neck with Sumar, a new 同盟 of far-left groups that 含むs Podemos, the junior 判決,裁定 連合 partner. Sumar would fetch 25-39 seats, 投票s show.

In many 選挙(人)の 地区s, the third 位置/汚点/見つけ出す is 決定的な as the fourth-placed party 一般に fails to elect 立法議員s.

Sanchez, who still hopes to have enough support in 議会 to form a 政府, cancelled part o f his 協議事項 in Brussels on Monday to join a (選挙などの)運動をする 決起大会/結集させる in the northeastern town of Huesca, where the PSOE is fighting to get an extra seat.

Sumar and PSOE have said they ーするつもりである to recreate the 判決,裁定 連合.

Feijoo has been coy about whether he would 調印(する) an 地位,任命する-選挙 同盟 with Vox even though the two have teamed up in several 地域s and many municipalities after 地元の 選挙s on May 28, in which the 判決,裁定 連合 was 大勝するd.

Sanchez called the snap 選挙 on May 29, 明らかに hoping to wrongfoot the PP and 軍隊 it to (選挙などの)運動をする while also 交渉するing uncomfortable 連合 取引,協定s with Vox in the 地域s.

A 国家の PP-Vox 同盟 would give far-権利 a 役割 in 政府 for the first time since the 現在の 憲法 was 認可するd in 1978 after the four 10年間s of Francisco フランス系カナダ人's 独裁政治.

(報告(する)/憶測ing by Inti Landauro; Editing by Andrei Khalip and マイク Harrison)

Sorry we are not 現在/一般に 受託するing comments on this article.