FOREX-Dollar 始める,決める for best 4半期/4分の1 in a year; yen 介入 watch rumbles on

By Amanda Cooper

LONDON, Sept 29 (Reuters) - The dollar continued to 緩和するd from a 10-month high on Friday, but was still 長,率いるd for its biggest 年4回の 伸び(る) in a year, giving the yen some breathing room as 介入 watch 強めるd.

The dollar 索引, which 跡をつけるs the U.S. 通貨 against six others, fell 0.4% to 105.75, but was on 跡をつける to end the 4半期/4分の1 up 2.8%, along with an 11th straight 週刊誌 決起大会/結集させる - its longest in nine years.

U.S. 財務省 産する/生じるs, which were supporting the dollar, fell from multi-year highs 夜通し, a factor that, along with a 27% 殺到する in the oil price this 4半期/4分の1, has helped the dollar turn 肯定的な for the year against 事実上 every major 通貨.

"We've had resilience in the U.S. economy, in the 職業s market, インフレーション ticking higher and, 明白に, the rise in oil prices. There's a lot in play here," City 索引 markets strategist Fiona Cincotta said.

"We're not really 推定する/予想するing to see any 率 削減(する)s for やめる some time, 井戸/弁護士席 toward the 支援する end of 2024. And also, the Fed might not want to 可決する・採択する a いっそう少なく hawkish トン, because they don´t want to unwind that work they´ve done too 早期に," she 追加するd.

Markets are looking ahead to the next data points, starting with 重要な U.S. personal 消費 data 予定 later on Friday. However, a 部分的な/不平等な 政府 shutdown is ぼんやり現れるing, which could 影響する/感情 the 解放(する) of 経済的な data.

A 欠如(する) of data could create a "vacuum of 不確定" as the 連邦の Reserve tries to 決定する whether another 率 増加する is needed this year, said Tony Sycamore, market 分析家 at IG.

"When we've got central banks that are data-扶養家族... and they can't get that data in a timely fashion, it does, I think, creat e another 推論する/理由 to move to the sidelines in some of these 資産 classes," Sycamore said.

Richmond Fed 大統領 Thomas Barkin joined other Fed 公式の/役人s speaking this week, 説 on Thursday it was 不明瞭な whether more 通貨の 政策 changes will be needed in coming months.

にもかかわらず some 一時的休止,執行延期 on Friday, 圧力 remains on the yen as it 貿易(する)s 近づく 150 per dollar, a level many believe is 可能性のある 介入 誘発する/引き起こす for 当局.

The yen last 貿易(する)d at 148.925 to the dollar, 緩和 0.25% on the day.

核心 インフレーション in Japan's 資本/首都 slowed in September for the third straight month おもに on 落ちるing 燃料 costs, data showed on Friday.

Although 通貨 介入 may have 限られた/立憲的な 衝撃, "the 政府 would lose nothing 政治上 by 論証するing to the Japanese public that it is serious about 取り組むing the 殺到する in 輸入する prices that results from a 女性 yen," Yasunari Ueno, 長,指導者 market 経済学者 at Mizuho 安全s, said in a 公式文書,認める.

どこかよそで, the euro rose for a second day, up 0.4% at $1.0608, pulling その上の away from this week's multi-month low of $1.0488.

英貨の/純銀の rose 0.2% to $1.2236, having 攻撃する,衝突する its lowest since since March 17 this week, after data on Friday showed Britain's 経済的な 業績/成果 since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic has been stronger than 以前 thought.

The Office for 国家の 統計(学) said the UK economy in the three months to the end of June 2023 was 1.8% larger than in the final 4半期/4分の1 of 2019, the last 十分な 4半期/4分の1 before the start of the pandemic.

A previous ONS 見積(る) in August was that the economy was 0.2% smaller than before COVID.

(付加 報告(する)/憶測ing by Brigid Riley in Tokyo; Editing by Gerry Doyle, Neil Fullick and Varun H K)

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