TREASURIES-US 産する/生じるs 宙返り/暴落する after Powell comments, data

By Chuck Mikolajczak

NEW YORK, Dec 1 (Reuters) -

U.S. 財務省 産する/生じるs dropped on Friday after Fed 議長,司会を務める Jerome Powell sounded 警告を与える on the central bank's 利益/興味 率 見通し and data showed a continued 製造業の 低迷.

産する/生じるs 延長するd 拒絶する/低下するs after Powell said the 危険s of the Fed moving too far with 率 引き上げ(る)s and slowing the economy more than necessary have become "more balanced" with those of not moving 速く enough to 戦闘 high インフレーション.

"What Powell's comments just 示唆するd to us is that the Fed is at the end of the 率 引き上げ(る) cycle or very の近くに to it, supported by some of the 'balanced' comments," said Dylan Kremer, 長,指導者 投資 officer at Certuity in Miami.

"The market is getting too 積極的な in pricing a Fed 削減(する) in March. We think the Fed will keep 率s higher than the market 推定する/予想するs to 確実にする that they stamp out インフレーション because what their worst 恐れる is, is reacceleration."

The market is pricing in a greater than 60% chance of a 率 削減(する) in March, によれば CME's

FedwatchTool

, up from about 43% on Thursday.

Earlier in the 開会/開廷/会期, 産する/生じるs had dipped after the 学校/設ける for 供給(する) 管理/経営 (ISM) said its 製造業の PMI was 不変の at 46.7 last month, below the 47.6 見積(る) of 経済学者s 投票d by Reuters. It was the 13th straight month the PMI stayed below 50, which 示すs 収縮過程.

The 産する/生じる on the (判断の)基準 10-year U.S. 財務省 公式文書,認める fell 9 basis points (bps) to 4.261% and is 負かす/撃墜する nearly 23 bps for the week.

産する/生じるs have fallen はっきりと in 最近の weeks, with the 10-year U.S. 財務省 産する/生じる の近くにing out November on Thurs day with its biggest 月毎の 減少(する) since August 2011. 軟化するing 経済的な data have 高くする,増すd 期待s the Fed is done with 引き上げ(る)ing 率s and 投資家s are 試みる/企てるing to time the central bank's first 率 削減(する).

Many Fed 公式の/役人s have 辞退するd to 支配する out the 可能性 of another 引き上げ(る) should 経済的な data change course, but Fed 知事 Christopher Waller, seen as a 強硬派, flagged the a possible 率 削減(する) if インフレーション continues to 拒絶する/低下する earlier this week.

Powell is also 推定する/予想するd to speak again at 2 p.m. ET on Friday.

The 産する/生じる on the 30-year 財務省 社債 拒絶する/低下するd 6 basis points to 4.448%.

A closely watched part of the U.S. 財務省 産する/生じる curve 手段ing the gap between 産する/生じるs on two- and 10-year 公式文書,認めるs , an 指示する人(物) of 経済的な 期待s, was at a 消極的な 36.64 basis points after rising to a 消極的な 33.83, its shallowest inversion since Nov. 8.

The two-year U.S. 財務省 産する/生じる, which typically moves in step with 利益/興味 率 期待s, fell 12 basis points to 4.598% after の近くにing out November with its biggest 月毎の 減少(する) since March. The 産する/生じる 拒絶する/低下するd to 4.569%, its lowest since June 13.

The breakeven 率 on five-year U.S. 財務省 インフレーション-保護するd 安全s (TIPS) was last at 2.163% after の近くにing at 2.176% on Nov. 30.

The 10-year TIPS breakeven 率 was last at 2.238%, 示すing the market sees インフレーション 普通の/平均(する)ing about 2.2% a year for the next 10年間.

(報告(する)/憶測ing by Chuck Mikolajczak; editing by Philippa Fletcher and Richard Chang)

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