Russia can withstand new 許可/制裁s, 率ing may be 昇格d: Moody's

By Andrey Ostroukh

MOSCOW, Jan 30 (Reuters) - Russia's economy has 伸び(る)d enough resilience to withstand new Western 許可/制裁s and the country's 君主 率ing may be 昇格d by the end of the year, Kristin Lindow, a 上級の 副/悪徳行為 大統領,/社長 at Moody's 投資家 Service, said in an interview.

的d by Western 経済的な and 財政上の 許可/制裁s since 2014, Russia's economy began to 回復する last year after a 法外な 経済的な 下降, thanks to higher oil prices and some 構造上の 改革(する)s 器具/実施するd by the 政府.

"Our 分析 is that the economy and public 財政/金融s are in good 形態/調整 and can withstand new 許可/制裁s," Lindow told Reuters late on Monday, before the 部隊d 明言する/公表するs 指名するd major ロシアの businessmen on a 名簿(に載せる)/表(にあげる) of oligarchs の近くに to the Kremlin.

Late last week, Moody's raised the country's 君主 見通し to 肯定的な from stable just days before 広範囲にわたって- 心配するd 報告(する)/憶測s on possible new U.S. 許可/制裁s against Russia.

The U.S. 財務省 Department later 解放(する)d a 名簿(に載せる)/表(にあげる) of people の近くに to the Kremlin, casting a 可能性のある 影をつくる/尾行する of 許可/制裁s 危険 over a wide circle of 豊富な ロシアのs.

Moody's 見通し 昇格 also (機の)カム いっそう少なく than two months before Russia's March 大統領の 選挙, which 大統領 Vladimir Putin is 広範囲にわたって 推定する/予想するd to 勝利,勝つ.

"We were trying to send a message ... that we think that the economy is resilient to new 許可/制裁s. And we also didn't feel it was necessary to wait to 割り当てる a 肯定的な 見通し until after the 大統領の 選挙," Lindow said.

全世界の 率ing 機関s are on the watch now for a 君主 率ing 昇格 as higher oil prices 緩和するd 関心s about Russia's 会計の 衝撃を和らげるものs, while the economy is on 跡をつける to grow for the second year in a 列/漕ぐ/騒動.

Lindow said a 決定/判定勝ち(する) on 昇格ing Russia's 率ing could be made no later then in the next 12-18 months.

2018 OUTLOOK

This year, Moody's 推定する/予想するs Russia's economy to grow by 1.6 パーセント, インフレーション to acce lerate 支援する to the central bank's 的 of 4 パーセント, and international reserves to grow by another $40 billion.

"What we're looking for is a 政策 mix that we think has been 可決する・採択するd. A 会計の consolidation that would 許す the 赤字 to be 財政/金融d 完全に 国内で just in 事例/患者 new 許可/制裁s are 課すd on ロシアの 政府 負債. 類似して, the 交流 率 to be a shock absorber," Lindow said.

After the 2018 大統領の 選挙, which would lead to a new 閣僚 of 大臣s, Moody's also 推定する/予想するs to see "連続 ーに関して/ーの点でs of 職員/兵員 at the 最高の,を越す of 重要な 省s" and the same 経済的な and 財政上の lines to be 追求するd.

"What would be helpful is some clarity on where 税金 率s are going to be" after a new 政府 is 任命するd, Lindow said.

Lindow also 賞賛するd the central bank's 政策 of 粛清するing the banking 部門 and shutting dozens of 貸す人s as it helped to cap 資本/首都 flight. But there was still more work to do ーに関して/ーの点でs of the clean-up, Lindow said.

"The clean-up in the banking 部門 that has been going on in the past several years has been very 肯定的な and certainly led to a better 結果 for 外部の 財政/金融s than we 心配するd," she said.

"Russia has had a history of having 経常収支 黒字/過剰s but a 確かな 量 of that was lost to 資本/首都 flight. And that's 減らすd 意味ありげに with the 終結 of some of these banks." (報告(する)/憶測ing by Andrey Ostroukh; Editing by Peter Graff)

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