Trump sees 'good chance' of Mexico 移住 取引,協定 as clock ticks 負かす/撃墜する to 関税s

By Makini Brice and Anthony Esposito

WASHINGTON/MEXICO CITY, June 7 (Reuters) - U.S. 大統領 Donald Trump said on Friday there was a "good chance" that the 部隊d 明言する/公表するs would be able to reach a を取り引きする Mexico over a 殺到する of migrants on their ありふれた 国境, although his 行政 was still 押し進めるing ahead with a 計画(する) to 非難する 輸入する 関税s on all Mexican goods next week.

Trump has 脅すd to 課す the 徴収するs starting at 5% on June 10 if the Mexican 政府 does not agree to do more to 取り組む an 増加する in mostly Central American migrants crossing Mexico to enter the 部隊d 明言する/公表するs.

U.S. 国境 officers apprehended more than 132,000 people crossing from Mexico in May, the highest 月毎の level since 2006.

The two 味方するs started a third day of 会談 in Washington on Friday to reach a 取引,協定.

"If we are able to make the を取り引きする Mexico, & there is a good chance that we will, they will begin 購入(する)ing Farm & 農業の 製品s at very high levels, starting すぐに," Trump said in tweet. "If we are unable to make the 取引,協定, Mexico will begin 支払う/賃金ing 関税s at the 5% level on Monday!"

公式の/役人s have said the 会談 have 中心d on 移住 rather than 貿易(する). However, U.S. 農業の 輸出(する)s are 推定する/予想するd to be の中で those hardest 攻撃する,衝突する by any 報復の 関税s 課すd by Mexico, which is the 最高の,を越す importer of U.S. corn, wheat, pork and 酪農場 by 容積/容量.

Mexican 大統領 Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador said it was a mistake for the 部隊d 明言する/公表するs to link 移住 with 貿易(する).

Mexico's peso, which has been 乱打するd by 恐れるs of a 貿易(する) war with its biggest market, 強化するd more than 0.5% against the dollar after Trump's comments.

Marc Short, 長,指導者 of staff to U.S. 副大統領 マイク Pence, said earlier on Friday that the 部隊d 明言する/公表するs was moving ahead with a 合法的な notification of the 関税s on Mexican goods. "You should 心配する that happening today," he said at the White House.

The notification could still be turned off over the 週末 by the 大統領,/社長, Short said. Trump is returning to Washington from a European trip on Friday.

"The 大統領,/社長's going to ... look at a bunch of 選択s, and 重さを計る all the 選択s over the 週末," 去っていく/社交的な White House 経済的な 助言者 Kevin Hassett told CNBC. "People feel like they're going to be 現在のing the 大統領,/社長 when he gets 支援する with some 肯定的な choices."

MEXICAN OPTIMISM

Trump has 警告するd that the 初期の 関税s on Mexico will be incrementally 増加するd each month up to 25% if a 移住 取引,協定 fails to materialize, however.

Mexico is 緊急発進するing to 避ける such a シナリオ.

"It's a good 調印する that 会談 have not broken 負かす/撃墜する," Lopez Obrador told reporters in Mexico City. "There is 対話 and an 協定 can be reached. I'm 楽観的な we can 達成する that."

The Mexican 大統領,/社長 is 予定 to make a 声明 on Saturday at a 会合 of 政治家,政治屋s, 商売/仕事s and unions in the 国境 city of Tijuana.

Mexico has 用意が出来ている a 名簿(に載せる)/表(にあげる) of possible 報復の 関税s 的ing U.S. 製品s from 農業の and 産業の 明言する/公表するs regarded as Trump's 選挙(人)の base, a 手段 中国 has also used with an 注目する,もくろむ toward the 共和国の/共和党の 大統領,/社長's 2020 re-選挙 企て,努力,提案.

Such a move would leave the 部隊d 明言する/公表するs fighting 貿易(する) wars with two of its three largest 貿易(する)ing partners and その上の unnerve 財政上の markets already nervous about a 全世界の 経済的な 減産/沈滞.

The 部隊d S tates slapped up to 25% 関税s on $200 billion in Chinese 輸入するs last month, 誘発するing Beijing to 徴収する its own 関税s on $60 billion in American goods. Trump said on Thursday he would decide later this month whether to 攻撃する,衝突する Beijing with 関税s on an 付加 名簿(に載せる)/表(にあげる) of $300 billion in Chinese goods.

The ぼんやり現れるing U.S. 関税s have 原因(となる)d 商売/仕事s in Mexico to 緊急発進する to get their 製品s into the 部隊d 明言する/公表するs.

"It's very 大混乱/混沌とした. We might be able to put up with 5% for a little bit, 10% maybe," said Guillermo Valencia, 大統領,/社長 of Valencia International, a customs 仲買人 in Nogales, Arizona. "There are very few 商売/仕事s that can take a 25% 増加する in costs and stay alive."

経済学者s say the 貿易(する) 論争s could 損失 重要な 供給(する) lines and pinch 消費者s at a time when the 全世界の 経済的な 拡大 that followed the 2008 財政上の 危機 has started to sour and the 危険 of 後退,不況 has risen.

Credit ratings 機関 Fitch downgraded Mexico's 君主 負債 率ing on Wednesday, 特記する/引用するing the 貿易(する) 緊張s の中で other 危険s, while Moody's lowered its 見通し to 消極的な.

Even the 部隊d 明言する/公表するs, one of the more solid performers on the 経済的な 行う/開催する/段階, would not be 免疫の to the downdraft.

The U.S. Labor Department 報告(する)/憶測d on Friday that 職業 growth slowed はっきりと in May and 給料 rose いっそう少なく than 推定する/予想するd, raising 恐れるs that a loss of 勢い in 経済的な activity could be spreading to the American labor market.

U.S. 商売/仕事 groups are 一般に …に反対するd to the 関税s, 警告 they will raise costs for companies and lead to higher prices for American 消費者s. Trump's fellow 共和国の/共和党のs also are not keen on the prospect of a two-前線 貿易(する) war.

But Trump is eager to show 進歩 on his 2016 (選挙などの)運動をする 誓約(する)s to take a hard line on 移民/移住 and reb alance 全世界の 貿易(する) in 好意 of the 部隊d 明言する/公表するs as part of his "America First" 協議事項.

On Thursday, Mexico said it had 申し込む/申し出d to send 6,000 国家の guard 軍隊/機動隊s to its 国境 with Guatemala to 安全な・保証する the crossing. 公式の/役人s at the 会談 have 示すd that 議定書s around sending 亡命 探検者s to Mexico or other third countries while their U.S. (人命などを)奪う,主張するs are 過程d are also part of the mix.

(報告(する)/憶測ing by Susan Heavey, Makini Brice and Doina Chiacu in Washington, Lisa Baertlein in Los Angeles, Anthony Esposito in Mexico City, Caroline Stauffer in Chicago and Steve Holland in Shannon, Ireland 令状ing by Paul Simao and Rosalba O'Brien Editing by Susan Thomas and 認める McCool)

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