GRAPHIC-記録，記録的な／記録する-breaking summer European gas prices signal an expensive winter
By Susanna Twidale and Nina Chestney
LONDON, July 7 (Reuters) - European gas prices 丸天井d to 記録，記録的な／記録する highs this summer, driven by factors 範囲ing from low 在庫s and outages to an Asian buying spree, and signalling その上の rises in coming months that could mean higher 世帯 法案s this winter.
The 前線 month 契約 at the Dutch TTF 中心, a 重要な European （判断の）基準, 攻撃する，衝突する 38.65 euros ($45.77) per メガワット hour on Tuesday, its highest since Refinitiv Eikon 記録，記録的な／記録するs began. The British 前線 month 契約 reached a 記録，記録的な／記録する 93.35 pence per therm on Monday.
"A confluence of factors occurring at the same time has 原因（となる）d the 最近の bull run with 記録，記録的な／記録する low gas 貯蔵, outages, continual/長引かせるd 生産／産物 問題／発行するs and active Asian buying," said Nick Campbell, a director at consultancy 奮起させるd Energy .
A 冷淡な winter at the beginning of this year 誘発するd large drawdowns in 貯蔵 在庫／株s, which would usually be 補充するd during summer months when 需要・要求する tends to be 女性.
But a 一連の 予期しない 供給（する） disruptions, coupled with a 回復する in 需要・要求する as economies 回復する from COVID-19 制限s, has led to a scarcity of gas.
Data from the 国際エネルギー機関 published last week showed European gas 消費 rose by an 概算の 25% in the second ４半期/4分の1 of 2021, its largest year-on-year 年４回の 増加する since at least 1985.
"This exceptionally strong 回復 has been driven by the combination of an 延長するd heating season 予定 to lower than 普通の／平均（する） 気温s, higher gas 燃やす in the 力／強力にする 部門 and 経済的な activity 回復するing to の近くに to pre-COVID-19 level," the 国際エネルギー機関 said in its 最新の gas 報告（する）／憶測.
維持／整備 in Norway has 抑制（する）d 輸出（する）s from its gas fields and Russia's Gazprom has held off 調書をとる／予約するing 付加 capacity for gas 供給（する）s to 会合，会う 需要・要求する, a 調印する that it is waiting for the comissioning of the Nord Stream 2 pipeline, which runs from Russia to Europe.
Prices of 液化するd natural gas (LNG) hav e also 急に上がるd in Asia as 買い手s in the 地域 sought to 補充する 在庫／株s before winter. Although European prices are high, the spread has not been high enough to attract タンカーs to Europe.
"The Japan-Korea-Marker (JKM) price for LNG will continue to 運動 the TTF higher but the TTF needs to 決起大会／結集させる much faster than the JKM (to attract LNG to Europe)," said Samer Mosis, team leader of 全世界の LNG analytics at S&P 全世界の Platts.
"The general 主題 that Europe has to fight with Asia for LNG will stay for the next three years," he said.
Gas scarcity this summer is already 影響する／感情ing winter gas 契約s. Britain's winter 2021 契約 攻撃する，衝突する 100 pence per therm on Tuesday, the highest for that 契約 since Refinitiv Eikon 記録，記録的な／記録するs began.
Price spikes in the 卸売 gas market, if 長引かせるd, can 運動 up 小売 gas prices for 世帯s. In Britain, 卸売物価s （不足などを）補う around a third of 消費者 energy 法案s.
A cap on the most 広範囲にわたって used British electricity and gas 関税s rose in a review in April and is 推定する／予想するd to rise その上の in the next review this autumn as 卸売物価s rise.
"A rise in gas and 力／強力にする 小売 関税s will come as a shock to 使用者s this winter. 卸売物価s are still rising along with other 生成するing 燃料s globally so there is no （疑いを）晴らす end in sight yet," said Glenn Rickson, 長，率いる of European 力／強力にする 分析 at S&P 全世界の Platts. ($1 = 0.8445 euros)
(報告（する）／憶測ing by Susanna Twidale and Nina Chestney; Editing by Veronica Brown and Edmund Blair)
