Hollywood 二塁打 strike could cost studios an 付加 $450M to $600M a year for each year of a new three-year 契約 if they agree to raise 補償(金) - as 専門家s say they're gearing up for '比較して long' 行き詰まらせる

  • A 塀で囲む Street 分析家 予報するs the Hollywood 二塁打 strike could cost studios $450 to $600million more a year if they agree to raise 補償(金)
  • 専門家s also say the 二重の actors-writers' strike may last months
  • Some companies are already starting to feel the 緊張する, with Disney 株 近づくing a one-year low on Monday?

The 現在進行中の Hollywood 二塁打 strike could cost studios $450 to $600million a year for each year of a new three-year 契約 if they agree to raise 補償(金), 分析家s say.

The entertainment 産業 was already struggling 予定 to the rise of streaming services before the 審査する Actors Guild-American 連合 of 無線で通信する and Television Artists decided last week to join the Writers' Guild of America in their strike.

Under the 支配するs of the strike, SAG-AFTRA's 16,000 members are not 許すd to film any movie or TV series, 参加する any 圧力(をかける) or film 首相s or 促進する anything at this month's San Diego Comic-反対/詐欺.

専門家s now say the 二重の actors-writers' strike could last for months.

During that time, major マスコミ 複合的な/複合企業体s will feel the 財政上の 緊張する, while streaming services fare only わずかに better.

Members of the Writers' Guild of America and?the Screen Actors Guild-American Federation of Radio and Television Artists are involved in a joint strike

Members of the Writers' Guild of America and?the 審査する Actors Guild-American 連合 of 無線で通信する and Television Artists are 伴う/関わるd in a 共同の strike?

Experts say the dual actors-writers' strike could last for months.?Cast members from Pretty Little Liars: Original Sin Maia Reficco, Bailee Madison and Chandler Kinne are pictured striking in New York City on Monday

専門家s say the 二重の actors-writers' strike could last for months.?Cast members from Pretty Little Liars: 初めの Sin Maia Reficco, Bailee Madison and Chandler Kinne are pictured striking in New York City on Monday?

On Monday, Moody's 負債 分析家 Neil Begley wrote that the 会社/堅い believes 'this 行き詰まり could be a 比較して long strike, with the 火刑/賭けるs 存在 larger than they have been in many years.

'With the 味方するs remaining far apart, we 見積(る) an 協定 増加するing 補償(金) under new 集団の/共同の 取引ing 協定s will 最終的に cost Moody's-率d companies an 付加 $450million to $600 million a year for each year of a new three-year 契約 for all three guilds (Directors' Guild of America, WGA and SAG-AFTRA,' he wrote in his repor t.

Moody's debt analyst Neil Begley estimated studios would have to spend $450million to $600million a year more to meet the writers' and actors' demands

Moody's 負債 分析家 Neil Begley 概算の studios would have to spend $450million to $600million a year more to 会合,会う the writers' and actors' 需要・要求するs

But, he 公式文書,認めるd, 'there is 広大な/多数の/重要な play in these 見積(る)s, and some of this 増加するd cost, 特に for television 生産/産物, is likely to be passed on to 買い手s.'?

As part of their 需要・要求するs, the two unions are 需要・要求するing higher 支払う/賃金 to 中和する/阻止する インフレーション, and 保証(人)s for their 未来 暮らしs.

In 新規加入 to salaries when they are 活発に working, writers and actors earn 支払い(額)s called 'residuals' every time a film or show they worked on is 空気/公表するd on 網状組織 or cable ― which is 特に helpful when they are between 事業/計画(する)s.

With both unions on strike, Begley says they have 'greater てこ入れ/借入資本' in their 交渉s.?

'生産/産物 in the US has 停止(させる)d at a time when the 部門 is under 圧力 to mitigate the 世俗的な 拒絶する/低下する in linear TV and show it can operate streaming 壇・綱領・公約s at a 利益(をあげる) to mitigate linear decay,' he explained.

'In a 長引かせるd strike in which new theatrical Hollywood tentpole 製品 is spread more thinly or runs 乾燥した,日照りの these companies could 直面する 収入s, cash flow and liquidity 圧力s.

'After exhibitors, broadcast television and cable 網状組織s are also exposed, given they are already in 世俗的な 拒絶する/低下する with rising costs to 消費者s and a 縮むing value proposition 親族 to direct-to 消費者 ビデオ-on 需要・要求する streaming services such as Netflix.'

Members of the WGA and SAG-AFTRA are pictured striking together on Friday

Members of the WGA and SAG-AFTRA are pictured striking together on Friday

The two unions are demanding higher pay to counteract inflation, and guarantees for their future livelihoods

The two unions are 需要・要求するing higher 支払う/賃金 to 中和する/阻止する インフレーション, and 保証(人)s for their 未来 暮らしs

Macquarie 分析家 Tim Nollen 追加するd that the タイミング of the strike will 影響する/感情 'many of this coming season's scheduled 演劇s on TV, which may ironically, 運動 even more テレビ視聴者s to streaming services, where lead times can be one to two years for episodic series and hence won't be 影響する/感情d until next year.'

But on Friday, 井戸/弁護士席s Fargo 分析家 公式文書,認めるd that '網状組織s had already 明かすd unscripted-激しい 落ちる 顔触れs at the upfronts.'?

の中で the shows that are likely to be 影響する/感情d are Ryan Murphy's anthology series American Horror Story and the second season of the 星/主役にする Wars series Andor.

Warner Bros. 発見, however, has 示すd that Max's House of the Dragon will not be 影響する/感情d as many of its actors are British.

Other 分析家s, though, have said that even streaming services are at 危険 from the strike.

'Streaming companies have been feeling the heat from 塀で囲む Street to 押し進める に向かって profitability,' Third 橋(渡しをする) 分析家 Jamie Lumley said. 'This has put a number of players on challenging 地盤 as they 重さを計る content costs, 戦略の 決定/判定勝ち(する)s and the growth of their audience.?

'With actors and writer seeing 契約s and 王族s ひどく 衝撃d by streaming, the 火刑/賭けるs are high for everyone at the 交渉するing (米)棚上げする/(英)提議する.'

He 追加するd: 'We've been 審理,公聴会 that most streaming companies won't feel the 苦痛 from the strikes until 2024 given the pipeline of content that has already been locked in. However, streamers could be in trouble as soon as the velocity of content slows.

'Our 専門家s 強調する that content is still king, and if streamers want 加入者s to keep coming 支援する, they need to have a 安定した 料金d of new movies and shows 存在 解放(する)d on their 壇・綱領・公約s.'

In the end, PP Foresight 創立者 Paolo Pescatore told The Hollywood Reporter, 'the 勝利者s and losers will depend on the final 結果 and low long the strike 活動/戦闘 lasts.'

A Writers' Guild picketer is seen here carrying a sign outside Disney studios on Monday

A Writers' Guild picketer is seen here carrying a 調印する outside Disney stu dios on Monday

Shares of the Walt Disney Co. was nearing a one-year low on Monday morning

株 of the Walt Disney Co. was 近づくing a one-year low on Monday morning

Shares of Netflix were up, however, due to its new paid sharing policy and its planned ad tier

株 of Netflix were up, however, 予定 to its new paid 株ing 政策 and its planned 広告 tier

Some companies are already feeling the 影響s, though, with Disney 株 近づくing a one-year low on Monday morning.

As of 1pm EST, its 株 were selling at just $85.99, 負かす/撃墜する more than 4 パーセント over the past month, MarketWatch 報告(する)/憶測d Monday.

But Netflix 株 殺到するd nearly 40 パーセント over the past six months, 予定 to its new paid 株ing 政策 and its planned 広告 tier.

Evercore ISI 分析家 示す Mahaney said he 推定する/予想するs the streaming 巨大(な) to 避ける the '構成要素 衝撃' from the strike.

And 宙返り飛行 資本/首都 分析家 Alan Gould said: 'US writers' and actors' strike should 高める [Netflix's] 競争の激しい advantage given its level of unreleased content and its 全世界の 生産/産物 能力s.'

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