How 中国 could 抑えるのをやめる $135BILLION of 経済的な 悲惨 on Australia in 報復 for 申し込む/申し出ing 聖域 to thousands from Hong Kong - by slapping 抱擁する 関税s on seafood, ワイン and 酪農場
- Australia has 申し込む/申し出d Hong Kong 居住(者)s 聖域 after 国家の 安全 法律
- Beijing has 脅すd 'その上の 活動/戦闘' after already slapping 関税s on barley?
- There are 恐れるs the seafood, 酪農場 and ワイン 産業s could be in the 解雇する/砲火/射撃ing line
The seafood, 酪農場 and ワイン 産業s could be in the 解雇する/砲火/射撃ing line after Australia 怒り/怒るd 中国 by 申し込む/申し出ing 聖域 to Hong Kong 居住(者)s, 専門家s have told Daily Mail Australia.
Beijing has 脅すd 'その上の 活動/戦闘' after Canberra cancelled its 国外逃亡犯人の引渡し 条約 with Hong Kong and 延長するd ビザs for its 居住(者)s who 恐れる they could be 不公平に 逮捕(する)d under 中国's new 国家の 安全 法律.
専門家s 恐れる there is a 'high 見込み' of more 関税s after 中国 slapped an 80 per cent 税金 on Aussie barley and banned some beef 輸入するs に引き続いて Canberra's call for an 調査 into the coronavirus 突発/発生.???
The seafood, 酪農場 and ワイン 産業s could be 的d by 中国. Pictured: A Tasmania 酪農場 farm?
Dr Pichamon Yeophantong, a 上級の lecturer in 国際関係 at UNSW, said: 'It's hard to 心配する what Beijing's next move will be but there is a high 見込み of その上の 関税s, perhaps on seafood, 酪農場 and ワイン.
'The other 選択 would be coal which has been 的d before and would be an easier 的 than アイロンをかける 鉱石 because there are more 代案/選択肢 供給者s.'??
Dr Yeophantong 警告するd 中国 may continue telling students and tourists not to travel 負かす/撃墜する Under in an 明らかな 試みる/企てる to 損失 the Australian economy.????
Last month 明言する/公表する マスコミ (人命などを)奪う,主張するd Australia was '人種差別主義者' and 警告するd 国民s they could be victimised if they travelled here.?
'中国 could also 増加する messaging to its 国民s telling them not to come to Australia,'?Dr Yeophantong said.?
'Given what is happening with coronavirus spreading here at the moment, they may find a more willing audience.'
Australian fishermen 荷を降ろすing seafood in Sydney Fish Market wharf. Seafood is a 抱擁する 輸出(する) to 中国
Australian PM Scott Morrison said the country was under attack from a 'sophisticated 明言する/公表する-based actor' 的ing companies, hospitals, schools and 政府 公式の/役人s (pictured, Morrison 会合 Chinese leader Xi Jinping)??
However, Dr Yeophantong said there were good 推論する/理由s why Beijing's 返答 might be 限られた/立憲的な.
'Even though 関税s will 傷つける Australia, they also 害(を与える) Chinese 商売/仕事 利益/興味s so Beijing will have to take that into account,' she said.
'Also,?中国 has to be careful because any moves could 誘発する/引き起こす a chain reaction in other countries and Beijing can't afford to jeopardise its 全世界の 評判.'?????????
'Thirdly, the 中国-Australia 自由貿易 協定 means Beijing cannot go "完全に crazy" because it is 限られた/立憲的な in how it can 答える/応じる'.?
Under the 2015 協定, 中国 cannot 課す any 関税s except on wool, beef and milk 砕く under a special 条項.
But Dr?Yeophantong 警告するd Beijing may be 用意が出来ている to 一時的に break the 取引,協定. 'If one 味方する walks away there is not much the other can do about it,' she said.
'貿易(する) 論争s are settled by a 非常に長い and 高くつく/犠牲の大きい international 合法的な 過程 so countries いつかs 訴える手段/行楽地 to 外交の 圧力 instead.'?
Or, instead of 関税s, 中国 could make 輸入するs more difficult with extra customs checks.??
Dr Weihuan Zhou, also a 上級の lecturer at UNSW, said he believes 中国 will 報復する because the 政府 'has a strong 見解(をとる) that this is an 介入 into 国内の 事件/事情/状勢s and 国家の 主権,独立.'?
He said 農業の 製品s such as milk 力/強力にする were most likely to be 的d.
The 'Special 保護(する)/緊急輸入制限 機械装置' in the 解放する/自由な-貿易協定 許すs 中国 to 非難する 関税s on wool, beef and milk 力/強力にする once a threshold level of each is 輸入するd in a calendar year.
Chinese 大統領 Xi Jinping after 検査/視察するing the 軍隊/機動隊s during a parade to celebrate the 70th 周年記念日 of the 設立するing of the People's 共和国 of 中国 at Tiananmen Square
'中国 has already done so on beef, leaving milk 砕く the only 選択,' Dr Zhou said.?
'But there needs to be a factual finding that Australia's milk 砕く 輸出(する)s to 中国 in 2020 has 越えるd the 誘発する/引き起こす for this year before 中国 can 増加する the 関税.'?
Dr Yeophantong said that the threshold level after which milk 砕く 輸入するs can be 税金d will likely be reached this year.
'In light of this, 酪農場 might be the more viable 的 for Beijing to 課す higher 関税s once the 輸出(する) threshold is met and the preferential 関税s 保証するd under ChAFTA are 孤立した,' she said.?
'But as 以前 について言及するd, Beijing will still need to be 用心深い with how it (権力などを)行使するs its 経済的な levers, 特に considering how Chinese 商売/仕事s also have an 増加するing 火刑/賭ける in Australia's 酪農場 and other 重要な 輸出(する) 部門s.'
Scott Morrison is 認めるing five-year ビザs with a pathway to 永久の residency for students and 技術d migrants from Hong Kong after 中国 課すd draconian new 法律s on the 領土.?
中国's new 国家の 安全 法律 禁じるs what Beijing 見解(をとる)s as 脱退論者, 破壊分子 or テロリスト activities or a s foreign 介入 in Hong Kong.?
Critics say it curtails freedom of speech and プロの/賛成の-僕主主義 抗議する人s have since been 告発(する),告訴(する)/料金d for 持つ/拘留するing 旗s, posters and 小冊子s.?
Police officers 拘留する 抗議する人s during a 決起大会/結集させる against a new 国家の 安全 法律 on the 23rd 周年記念日 of the 設立 of the Hong Kong Special 行政の 地域 on July 1
In a strong 警告 last night, 中国's 外務大臣 said it sees Australia's move regarding Hong Kong as foreign 干渉,妨害 in its 内部の 事件/事情/状勢s.?
'We would reserve the 権利 to take その上の 活動/戦闘. All the consequences その上の 活動/戦闘 brings should be shouldered by the Australian 味方する,' the 省 said.
'Any 共謀 to 発揮する 圧力 on 中国 will not 後継する.'
The Chinese 大使館 in Canberra 追加するd:?'The Australian 味方する has been clanking that they …に反対する foreign 干渉,妨害.
'However, they have blatantly 干渉するd in 中国's 内部の 事件/事情/状勢s by making irresponsible 発言/述べるs on Hong Kong 関係のある 問題/発行するs. Its hypocrisy and 二塁打 基準 is exposed in 十分な.
'We 勧める the Australian 味方する to すぐに stop 干渉 in Hong Kong 事件/事情/状勢s and 中国's 内部の 事件/事情/状勢s under any pretext or in any way.?
'さもなければ it will lead to nothing but 解除するing a 激しく揺する only to 攻撃する,衝突する its own feet.'??
Australia has 開始する,打ち上げるd six 軍艦s into the Indo-太平洋の for training 操作/手術s ahead of 抱擁する show of 軍隊 in the 地域 with the US 海軍. Pictured:?HMA Ships Stuart (foreground), Hobart and Canberra (background) 出発/死 (n)艦隊/(a)素早い Base East in Sydney
中国 is Australia's largest 貿易(する)ing partner, buying about a third of all 輸出(する)s 価値(がある) $135 billion a year.?
Beijing and Canberra have been at loggerheads in 最近の weeks after Australia led 全世界の calls for an 調査 into the origins of Covid-19, which first surfaced in 中国 late last year.?
中国 報復するd by slapping an 80 per cent 関税 on Australian barley, 一時停止するing beef 輸入するs and telling students and tourists not to travel 負かす/撃墜する Under in an 明らかな 試みる/企てる to 損失 the Australian economy.????
Last month Scott Morrison said cyber-attacks by a 明言する/公表する-based actor have 増加するd 劇的な in 最近の weeks and 的d 'all levels of 政府' 同様に as '批判的な 組織/基盤/下部構造'.?
安全 長,指導者s say the hackers are using the いわゆる 'spear-phishing' method to steal 極度の慎重さを要する login 詳細(に述べる)s by sending scam emails, and carrying out 正規の/正選手 '偵察' to find weak points in Australia's defences.? ??
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