Why Sydney COULD be 解放（する）d from lockdown in October if they stick to very 堅い 対策 ? as 専門家s say which 明言する／公表する is most likely to 勝利，勝つ the Covid 事例／患者 race

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An 専門家 has 申し込む／申し出d a 微光 of hope for long 苦しむing Sydneysiders desperate to be 解放する／自由なd from lockdown, 説 hard 制限s could see 事例／患者s 急落する within months.

NSW?首相 Gladys Berejiklian has 明らかに given up hope of 事例／患者s returning to 無 as the 明言する／公表する 記録，記録的な／記録するd 452 coronavirus 事例／患者s on Tuesday - the fourth 連続した day over 400.

Instead, Australia's roadmap out of the pandemic calls for lockdowns to 大部分は end when 70-80 per cent of the adult 全住民 will be vaccinated, based on the Doherty modelling 報告（する）／憶測, along with just 30-40 事例／患者s a day.

The 首相 this week all but dashed hopes Sydney's lockdown would end at 70 per cent ワクチン接種 without 徹底的に より小数の Covid 事例／患者s.

While epidemiologist Professor Tony Blakely has higher hopes for Melbourne and the ACT ーに関して／ーの点でs of 拒絶する／低下するing 感染s, he believes NSW can 意味ありげに 減少（する） to as few as 30 事例／患者s a day by 中央の-October under a 'hard lockdown' of 堅い 制限s.?

事例／患者s in NSW could 急落する to 30 a day by October under a 'hard lockdown' (pictured, Bondi beachgoers enjoying the winter 日光 on Tuesday)

'It will take until about 中央の-October under really hard lockdown under modelling we are 解放（する）ing tomorrow, or February under a soft lockdown,' Professor Blakely told The 事業／計画（する） on Tuesday night.

'So it will take a long time to get those 事例／患者 numbers 負かす／撃墜する to that level. So this is really challenging stuff. It is more about a 橋（渡しをする） over に向かって October, November, when the ワクチン接種 ニュース報道s get up and seeing how we go at that point. It is challenging.'

He had difficulty 述べるing the 現在の 明言する／公表する of Sydney's 53-day lockdown when asked if it was a 'soft' lockdown ありそうもない to 減少（する） 事例／患者s.

'I don't know what they are in, to be honest,' he 譲歩するd.

'A hard lockdown would take until October to get to about five 事例／患者s a day.

Melbourne is 苦しむing an even harsher lockdown 含むing a 9pm-5am 外出禁止令 (pictured, の近くにd parks in the city on Tuesday)

感染s won't 意味ありげに 減少（する） in NSW for another six months under a 'soft' lockdown. Pictured is a 砂漠d George Street in Sydney's CBD

'Everybody in NSW now knows they are living with Covid, so the trick now is as the 率s go up and they 高原, what you want is to 持つ／拘留する that and minimise mortality, and have a somewhat pleasant life with the lockdowns and the 経済的な 衝撃 of that.'

He said NSW's biggest challenge now is 確実にするing 事例／患者s don't break the 500 示す under the 堅い new 制限s ramped up this week.

'Will they [stay lower than 500], I hope so,' he said.?

Professor Blakely was more 希望に満ちた about Victoria, where Melburnians will remain in their sixth lockdown until at least September 2.?

He gave his home 明言する／公表する's chances of returning to 無 事例／患者s as 'better than 50/50' after 首相 Daniel Andrews ramped up 制限s on Monday.

But he believes Victoria will 結局 live with Covid 類似の to NSW.?

'From the Victorian 視野, I think it is one last 押す,' Professor Blakely said.

'There is a lot of 疲労，（軍の）雑役 out there with lockdown at the moment, myself 含むd.?

'We were not 達成するing it before. We were seeing the numbers static at five mystery 事例／患者s per day and eight or 10 感染性の 事例／患者s in the community so something more had to happen.

'These 対策 will hopefully be enough just to tip it in our favour and will 運動 it 負かす／撃墜する to 無.'

The ACT has had its seven day lockdown 延長するd by another two weeks after 17 new 事例／患者s on Tuesday.

Professor Blakely said it will be touch and go as to whether the nation's 資本／首都 can get 感染s under 支配（する）／統制する.

He 示唆するd they should, but 追加するd it wasn't a 保証（人）.

'They've got - they have not had it before, so they are all fresh, they should be enthusiastic about their lockdown, at least more than we are and they should give it a good 軽く押す／注意を引く,' he said.

'They are surrounded by NSW. So, they must feel somewhat enclosed, if you like.'

Professor Blakely 述べるd Victoria's? chances of returning to 無 事例／患者s as 'better than 50/50'. Pictured is Melbourne's Bourke Street on Monday as lockdown was 延長するd

ACT's lockdown has also been 延長するd after 17 new 事例／患者s on Tuesday. Pictured is a 居住（者） 演習ing along Canberra's?Lake Burley Griffin

His comments after the NSW 首相?発表するd another 452 Covid 事例／患者s on Tuesday, where she again broke 階級s with the 国家の 閣僚 協定 over an end to lockdowns when ワクチン接種 率s reach 80 per cent.

'Because even countries around the world with 80 per cent 二塁打-dose ワクチン接種 still rely on QR codes, mask wearing in 確かな settings,' Ms Berejiklian said.

'We know that whilst the Delta variant in particular is very active around the world, there will always be a level of 保護 we need to have.

'I am not about to make any 決定／判定勝ち（する）... which is going to either 衝撃 our 事例／患者 numbers or 危険 life.'

A day earlier, Ms Berejiklian 確認するd Sydneysiders' worst 恐れるs that she ーするつもりであるd to keep 制限s 井戸／弁護士席 into 2022 to 避ける 突発／発生s.

The NSW 首相 this week all but dashed hopes Sydney's lockdown would end at 70 per cent ワクチン接種 without 徹底的に より小数の Covid 事例／患者s. Pictured are Sydneysiders 列ing at the Sydney Olympic Pak ワクチン接種 中心 on Tuesday

'We will need to live with 制限s so long as Delta is around... even if we had 無 事例／患者s and we were at 80 per cent 二塁打 dose, you would still have to 尊敬（する）・点 支配するs that 存在する... around social distancing, around mask-wearing,' she said on Monday.

'So long as Delta and deadly Covid is around, we will always need to live with a 手段 of 制限.'?

The 首相 has also all but dashed hopes Sydney's lockdown, now in its 53rd day, would end at 70 per cent ワクチン接種 without 徹底的に より小数の Covid 事例／患者s.

She said the Doherty 報告（する）／憶測, on which the path out of the pandemic is based, linked 30 to 40 事例／患者s a day to that milestone.

'You can live life more 自由に than what you are today, but the extent of your freedom depends on 事例／患者 numbers,' she said.

'If you have 500 事例／患者s a day at 80 per cent, that is dangerous still to say "let it 引き裂く". You can't let it 引き裂く.'

NSW 首相s Gladys Berejiklian (pictured) has given up hope on NSW returning to 無 Covid 事例／患者s