Remember, remember to 投資する in November: How putting your money in this month has paid off for 投資家s
When 投資家s put their money in the 株式市場, they are frequently told it should be for the long 運ぶ/漁獲高.?
But data shows that money 投資するd between November and April often 成し遂げるs far better than 投資s made between May and October.
This いわゆる six-month 影響 means that now could be the perfect time to use up your 年次の Isa allowance if you want to give it the best start.
Number-crunching by 投資 group Architas 明らかにする/漏らすs that money 投資するd in the FTSE All 株 each year between November 1 and April 30 would have grown by 167 per cent over the past 22 years.
Data shows that money 投資するd between November and April often 成し遂げるs far better than 投資s made between May and October
Cash 投資するd during these six months would have 配達するd an 普通の/平均(する) return of 8.4 per cent a year over that period, compared to just 1.3 per cent for money 投資するd from May 1 to October 31.
And 分析 shows the 現象 is not just 排除的 to the UK.
株式市場s in each of the major 投資 地域s across the world have also 配達するd stellar returns in the six-month window from November 1.
Indeed, the 影響 is even more 重要な in Japan, where markets have returned an 普通の/平均(する) 11.8 per cent a year over the period.
It would have been 11 per cent in Europe. An 投資 in Japan between May 1 and October 31 would have lost you money.
Tom Becket, 長,指導者 投資 officer at Psigma 投資 管理/経営, says: '公正,普通株主権 markets tend to have their strongest period in the final few months of the year as people tinker with their 大臣の地位 based on what has happened over the previous 12 months and 楽観主義 kicks in for the coming year.'
But because the period over which these returns are 生成するd is six months, it is difficult to せいにする this 傾向 to any 選び出す/独身 factor.
株式市場s tend to be quieter across the summer months when much of the City has 伝統的に been on holi day.
Christmas, 一方/合間, has typically been a strong period for the 株式市場, and 投資家s using up their Isa allowances in March may 誘発する a flurry of activity which 刺激(する)s on 業績/成果 too.
Number-crunching by 投資 group Architas 明らかにする/漏らすs money 投資するd in the FTSE All 株 each year between November 1 and April 30 would have grown by 167% over the past 22 years
Adrian Lowcock, 投資 director at Architas, says: 'Whatever the 原因(となる), the six-month 影響 does seem to 存在する.?
'And, while it's probably not a good idea to go to extremes and take your money out of the 株式市場 for six months of the year, the start of November may be a good time to make new 投資s.'
But the six-month 影響 does not materialise every year.
Examples when it has not 含む 1999 and 2000 around the time of the dotcom 泡, in 2003 ahead of the US invas イオン of Iraq, and まっただ中に the 財政上の 危機 in 2008 and 2009.
Will it materialise in 2017? Becket is 用心深い: 'There is a lot of 不確定 as 利益/興味 率s start to rise and central banks start to 次第に減少する quantitative 緩和.'
But Lowcock is more 楽観的な on the 見通し. He says: 'The 全世界の economy looks healthy, the US in particular is growing faster than 推定する/予想するd and 法人組織の/企業の 収入s are growing. However, the UK looks more 攻撃を受けやすい.?
'Brexit 交渉s and political スキャンダルs have the 可能性のある to send a curve ball into markets.'
投資家s should, of course, be 用心深い of basing 投資 決定/判定勝ち(する)s around an adage which may be more coincidence than fact.
Another ありふれた 説 is that 投資家s should 'sell in May and go away' ?meaning get out of the 株式市場 in May until the St Leger Day racing fixture in September to 上げる returns.
The idea is that the summer tends to see より小数の 伸び(る)s on the 株式市場 and a greater 見込み of violent swings. Yet 分析 from Fidelity 設立する that those who had done so would have lost out in 18 of the past 30 years.
Becket says: 'While it's true that the 株式市場 tends to be quieter over the summer and see its strongest 伸び(る)s at the end of the year, if you base an 投資 戦略 on these 説s you will probably 結局最後にはーなる looking stupid.'
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